speeches · January 4, 2023
Regional President Speech
James Bullard · President
8/2/23, 4:21 PM
The Prospects for Disinflation in 2023 | St. Louis Fed
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The Prospects for Disinflation in 2023
January 5, 2023
Presentation (PDF) | Press Release | Slide 23 Data (.xlsx) | Video
St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard presented “The Prospects for Disinflation in 2023” at an
event hosted by CFA Society St. Louis. Disinflation refers to a decrease in the rate of inflation
toward the Fed’s 2% inflation target.
Bullard noted that GDP growth appears to have improved in the second half of 2022 and the
labor market performance remains strong. Inflation remains too high but has declined
recently, he added.
While the policy rate is not yet in a zone that may be considered sufficiently restrictive, it is
getting closer, Bullard said. In addition, front-loaded Fed policy has helped market-based
measures of inflation expectations return to relatively low levels, he continued.
Bullard said that these factors may combine to make 2023 a disinflationary year.
Note: For an updated version of the figure on Slide 23 that has corrected data for the first six
months of 2019, see Bullard’s June 2023 Regional Economist article, “Is Monetary Policy
Sufficiently Restrictive?”
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8/2/23, 4:21 PM
The Prospects for Disinflation in 2023 | St. Louis Fed
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Cite this document
APA
James Bullard (2023, January 4). Regional President Speech. Speeches, Federal Reserve. https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/regional_speeche_20230105_james_bullard
BibTeX
@misc{wtfs_regional_speeche_20230105_james_bullard,
author = {James Bullard},
title = {Regional President Speech},
year = {2023},
month = {Jan},
howpublished = {Speeches, Federal Reserve},
url = {https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/regional_speeche_20230105_james_bullard},
note = {Retrieved via When the Fed Speaks corpus}
}