speeches · September 26, 2022
Regional President Speech
James Bullard · President
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From the President
Bullard Speaks about the Fed Funds Rate and In�ation
September 27, 2022
St. Louis Fed President Jim Bullard discussed the Fed’s progress in tightening monetary policy to
bring down high in�ation. He spoke while participating virtually at a forum hosted by Barclays and the
Centre for Economic Policy Research in London.
“No matter how you look at it, we have a serious in�ation problem in the U.S., and we’re missing our
(2%) in�ation target and the credibility of our in�ation targeting regime is at risk,” Bullard said. He
added that this level of in�ation hasn’t been experienced since the late 1970s and early 1980s, when
Paul Volcker was chairman of the Fed.
Bullard said he recently recalculated the minimal level of the policy rate that could be argued was
restrictive monetary policy, and that rate was close to 4.5%, higher than he had calculated in May. He
also pointed out that at its last meeting, the Federal Open Market Committee moved up its projections
of the needed policy rate level to more in the 4% range.
Given the level of in�ation, the policy rate will need to be high compared with rates over the last 15
years, Bullard said. “In addition, I think we’ll have to stay at that higher rate for some time to make
sure that we’ve got the in�ation problem under control,” he said.
Bullard also noted that tighter monetary policy was in place sooner through market pricing than would
be apparent if one just looked at the policy rate itself and did not consider other aspects, including
quantitative tightening. “This market pricing leading the Fed is a bene�t of the modern era of forward
guidance and transparency and has helped us enormously, I think, so far during this episode,” Bullard
said.
So strict comparisons with Volcker are inappropriate at this point, he added.
Modern central banks including the Fed have an explicit in�ation target of 2%, which is an
international standard, Bullard said. That wasn’t the case in Volcker’s time, he noted. “So I think we've
got a better chance of success with less disruption to the economy than Volcker would have had,”
Bullard said.
View video from the Barclays-CEPR International Monetary Policy Forum.
Cite this document
APA
James Bullard (2022, September 26). Regional President Speech. Speeches, Federal Reserve. https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/regional_speeche_20220927_james_bullard
BibTeX
@misc{wtfs_regional_speeche_20220927_james_bullard,
author = {James Bullard},
title = {Regional President Speech},
year = {2022},
month = {Sep},
howpublished = {Speeches, Federal Reserve},
url = {https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/regional_speeche_20220927_james_bullard},
note = {Retrieved via When the Fed Speaks corpus}
}