speeches · November 30, 2017
Regional President Speech
James Bullard · President
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Assessing the Risk of Yield Curve Inversion
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Presentation (pdf) | Press Release | Photos of Visit to Little
Rock
On a two-day tour of Little Rock, Ark., where the St. Louis
Fed has a Branch, President James Bullard met with
Arkansas Gov. Asa Hutchinson, toured the Venture Center
startup incubator, spoke at a Regional Economic Brie ng
and met with the Little Rock Branch’s board of directors.
At the Regional Economic Brie ng, Bullard gave a
presentation titled “Assessing the Risk of Yield Curve
Inversion.” He said there is “a material risk” of such an
inversion over the forecast horizon if the FOMC continues
on its present course for raising the fed funds rate, as
suggested in the September 2017 Summary of Economic
Projections. Such an inversion—whereby short-term
interest rates exceed long-term interest rates—has helped
predict recessions in the past. He noted that yield curve
inversion is best avoided in the near term by caution in
raising the fed funds rate. “Given below-target U.S.
in ation, it is unnecessary to push normalization to such
an extent that the yield curve inverts,” he said.
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"Rationally, let it be said in a
whisper, experience is certainly
worth more than theory."
Amerigo Vespucci
Bullard spoke Friday morning at the Regional Economic Brie ng,
co-sponsored by the Little Rock Branch of the Federal Reserve
Bank of St. Louis and the Arkansas Economic Development
Institute. About 100 people attended the presentation, held at the
Clinton Presidential Center in Little Rock.
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Before delivering his remarks on the possibility of a yield curve
inversion, Bullard mingled with guests at the Regional Economic
Brie ng.
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At the state Capitol on Thursday, Bullard met with Gov. Asa
Hutchinson. All of Arkansas is in the St. Louis Fed’s District, along
with parts of six neighboring states. Bullard’s outreach efforts take
him around the District on a regular basis.
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At the startup incubator, Bullard and other St. Louis Fed
representatives met with leaders of the VC Fintech Accelerator—
Empowered by FIS, which focuses on early-stage nancial
technology companies that are innovating in banking services.
Collins Andrews (far left), FIS executive in residence, explained
how FIS is nurturing the startups.
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After touring the Venture Center, Bullard and other St. Louis Fed
representatives posed with those who run the startup incubator
and some of the people who are using its services. From left: Maf
Sonko of LUMOXchange, a startup that has online technology for
shopping for the best exchange rates to send money abroad;
Collins Andrews, executive in residence of FIS, a company behind
the center’s Fintech Accelerator program; James Hendren,
chairman at the Venture Center; Wayne Miller, managing director
at the Venture Center; Brian Bauer, program manager at the
Venture Center; Lee Watson, president and CEO of the Venture
Center; Susi Barakat of eGiftify, a startup with instant gifting
technology for any size business; Bullard; Robert Hopkins, senior
vice president and regional executive of the St. Louis Fed’s Little
Rock Branch; and Kevin Henry, an assistant vice president at the
St. Louis Fed in the Supervision division.
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Cite this document
APA
James Bullard (2017, November 30). Regional President Speech. Speeches, Federal Reserve. https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/regional_speeche_20171201_james_bullard
BibTeX
@misc{wtfs_regional_speeche_20171201_james_bullard,
author = {James Bullard},
title = {Regional President Speech},
year = {2017},
month = {Nov},
howpublished = {Speeches, Federal Reserve},
url = {https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/regional_speeche_20171201_james_bullard},
note = {Retrieved via When the Fed Speaks corpus}
}