speeches · October 17, 2014
Regional President Speech
Eric Rosengren · President
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“Can Economic Opportunity Flourish
When Communities Do Not?”
Eric S. Rosengren
President & Chief Executive Officer
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
Conference Address
The Federal Reserve Bank of Boston's 58th
Economic Conference:
“Inequality of Economic Opportunity”
Boston, Massachusetts
October 18, 2014
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“Can Economic Opportunity Flourish
When Communities Do Not?”
Eric S. Rosengren
President & Chief Executive Officer
Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
Conference Address
The Federal Reserve Bank of Boston's 58th Economic
Conference: “Inequality of Economic Opportunity”
Boston, Massachusetts
October 18, 2014
Good morning, and let me again welcome you to the Federal Reserve Bank of
Boston’s 58th economic conference. This year, our conference focuses on inequality of
economic opportunity, with the hope of identifying possible policy remedies.
While income inequality may be a somewhat controversial issue, most people –
even most economists – agree that equality of opportunity is a worthy goal. Yet society
has fallen short in delivering on the goal of equality of opportunity. This conference
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features an intentionally diverse mix of scholars presenting research on a wide range of
topics – including measuring inequality of opportunity, barriers to economic opportunity,
early childhood intervention, education policy, the effects of geography on opportunity,
and the effects of unequal opportunity on overall economic performance.
While income inequality is something of a “hot topic” in policy and scholarship
today, the Boston Fed has long been concerned about the economic well-being of all
citizens, including low- and moderate-income individuals. Indeed, the issue of income
inequality was the focus of our Annual Report some 15 years ago.
To emphasize our concern with such topics, I would note that this our flagship
economic conference series has, over the years, often taken an expanded view of the
Federal Reserve’s mandate to maximize employment. Conferences have explored issues
that determine long-run employment, such as financing public schools (1972), education
in the 21st century (2002), minority business development (1976), welfare reform (1986),
investment in public infrastructure (1990), and the importance of the full employment
part of the dual mandate (2013). 1
At the Boston Fed, we have a tradition of emphasis on employment and
unemployment, not just inflation – that is, on both sides of the Federal Reserve’s dual
mandate. We have traditionally emphasized promoting maximum sustainable
employment as well as stable prices, which the Federal Reserve has defined as 2 percent
inflation. 2 And as our research conferences and community work demonstrate, we have
long been concerned with programs that impact low- and moderate-income individuals.
This conference continues with the tradition of examining tools and levers outside of
monetary policy that often can more directly help these individuals.
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In short, this conference continues the Boston Fed’s long-standing practice of
emphasizing our duty to advance the maximum well-being of all citizens. Realizing that
many of the problems faced by low- and moderate-income citizens are closely related to
the economic decline of the cities they live in, in recent years, the Boston Fed has focused
on determining successful policies for revitalization – a process I will tell you about
today.
As I begin, I would note, as I always do, that the views I will express today are
my own, not necessarily those of my colleagues at the Federal Reserve’s Board of
Governors or the Federal Open Market Committee (the FOMC).
Opportunity, in the Context of Local Communities
The first day of this conference covered, in some detail, why economic
opportunities may not be evenly distributed. Conference participants noted, for example,
that education from early childhood through college is an expensive proposition, and that
many such highly priced opportunities may not be available for those with limited
economic resources. Conference participants also discussed why opportunities might
differ depending on parent and family characteristics, which go beyond income and
wealth, and may be a particular impediment for some subgroups.
These impediments can be significant barriers to social mobility, and I expect our
first session today will cover why intergenerational poverty is so prevalent, and why
individuals from disadvantaged geographies frequently are unable to progress beyond the
circumstances of their local community.
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The focus of much of the discussion at this conference thus far has been on people
– opportunities for people, barriers faced by people, and limited social mobility for
people. 3 In my remarks today, I am going to take a somewhat different approach, which
I believe will help bridge the conversation to the upcoming sessions. Beyond individuals
and their families, I would like to ask what the impediments are that make it difficult for
entire communities to escape their disadvantaged pasts. I emphasize communities
because much of the weight in equalizing opportunity is borne at the local level.
Many New England communities experienced one or more significant negative
economic shocks in the past half century – as textile producers, lumber mills, and
manufacturing operations that were once the mainstay of many communities declined or
completely disappeared. While it is difficult for individuals to overcome limited
opportunities, the ability of entire communities to reinvent themselves has become
increasingly important as evidence mounts suggesting how important social surroundings
can be for individual success.
Ultimately, most of the key services that make up the public infrastructure
supporting a healthy economic environment must be provided locally. 4 How well these
local services are provided can vary considerably across communities, which in turn can
have a substantial effect on the distribution of opportunities that impact individual
development (the opportunities discussed yesterday at this conference). For example,
most education in a child’s formative years is provided by local school systems or
nonprofit agencies, including early childhood education and, if necessary, English for
speakers of other languages classes (ESOL). Local delivery also, obviously,
characterizes elementary through high school education.
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But education is only one of many key services with a strong local component.
Studies have shown that the educational attainment of a mother is highly correlated with
the eventual educational attainment of her children. Most services aimed at helping
teenage mothers complete high school are provided at the local level, as are other
services for single mothers. For another example, programs that aim to reintroduce exoffenders into the workforce – which can be a particularly challenging endeavor – are
provided by local communities. Cities with substantial numbers of ex-offenders are often
particularly stressed to fund these programs.
These are but a few examples of the local delivery of services that can influence
both opportunities and outcomes for a community’s citizens.
Importantly, the quality of these local services depends on the economic
circumstances of the broader community. The financial, leadership, and peer resources
available can be highly dependent on whether a community is flourishing and effectively
coordinating services.
The importance of the “community context” reinforces the notion that
successfully addressing the issue of economic opportunity will increasingly require
communities that are both in good health economically and effective in delivering key
local services. This raises some questions. Have we invested enough time and energy
into encouraging communities to flourish? And is local civic and social infrastructure
sufficient to provide opportunities for individuals to overcome economic barriers?
Today, I will discuss some of the experience in this regard through the lens of
some of the mid-sized cities in Massachusetts. 5 And I will briefly describe actions being
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taken by the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, along with a host of partners, that may be a
promising model for helping such cities to help themselves.
Can Cities Become “Upwardly Mobile”?
Figure 1 shows median family income in 2010 dollars for the United States,
Massachusetts, and the mid-sized cities in Massachusetts. For the mid-sized cities, the
chart shows median family income for three cities – the city with the highest, median,
and lowest median family income growth over the roughly 50-year period.
As you can see, the median family income in the Massachusetts mid-sized city
ranked in the middle in terms of growth is relatively close to that of the entire United
States, with both showing improvement from 1959 to 1999, but then showing a decline
over the 10 years leading up to the end of our data. However, the cities with the highest
and lowest median family income growth show sharply divergent outcomes, not unlike
charts summarizing the experience of individuals at the two ends of the distribution. The
mid-sized city with the highest median family income growth of the 33 Massachusetts
mid-sized cities has shown dramatic gains in family income. In contrast, at the other end
of the distribution, the city with the lowest median family income growth has shown
declining median family income since 1969.
Figure 2 suggests how difficult it has been for mid-sized cities to be upwardly
mobile. The figure shows the 10 mid-sized Massachusetts cities with the lowest median
income at the end of each decade since 1959. If mid-sized cities were upwardly mobile,
we would expect to see successful cities dropping off this list over time. But, as the color
coding illustrates, many of the cities with the lowest median family income in 1959
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continue to be cities with the lowest median family income through the most recent
decade. For example, Lawrence has been among the six Massachusetts mid-sized cities
with the lowest median family income since 1959, and was in the unfortunate position of
having the lowest median family income over the last three decades.
Figure 3 shows how striking the decline in median family income has been in
many of these mid-sized cities relative to the median family income in the United States.
The city of Lawrence, which had been close to the median family income for the United
States in 1969, was earning only 60 percent of the median family income for the United
States by 2009. 6 In addition, most of the other mid-sized cities have seen median family
income relative to that for the United States fall by between 20 and 30 percent.
While these cities have experienced difficulties for a variety of reasons, many of
them had strong manufacturing sectors in 1960, which provided median family incomes
relatively close to the national average. However, as Figure 4 illustrates, many of these
cities have experienced dramatic declines in manufacturing employment, particularly
over the past three decades.
As manufacturing declined in many of these mid-sized cities, one might have
thought that the general population of such cities would drop significantly. Figure 5
shows that while there have been modest percentage population declines in some cities,
both Chelsea and Lawrence have experienced increases in population. Of the five midsized cities with the lowest median family income, only Holyoke has seen a sizable
percentage population decline.
While the overall population of these cities generally has not experienced
dramatic declines, there have been substantial changes in their demographic composition.
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One change has been the significant increase in Hispanic and Latino populations in many
of these cities, as seen in Figure 6. These cities have often been referred to as “gateway”
cities because many of them host sizable immigrant populations. During the decades
when manufacturing was growing in New England, many of these immigrants came from
Europe; more recently, many of the new immigrants have come from Latin America.
The one exception in the figure, Fall River, reflects that more than half the city’s
population traces their ancestry back to the Azorean islands of Portugal. 7
Regardless of their ethnic makeup, it is important to note that the failure of many
of these cities to effectively deliver key “backbone” services can have a significant
impact on residents. For example, in Lawrence, the ability of residents to make progress
was impeded by the poor performance of the Lawrence Public Schools, culminating in
the schools being placed in state receivership.
These local problems are no small matter when you consider that most social and
educational services are produced, managed, and provided locally. Local governments
and local organizations play key roles in what is the focus of this conference – equalizing
economic opportunity. As you’ll see in Figure 7, in Lawrence alone, there are 14
licensed nonprofit center-based preschool programs, 11 nonprofit organizations providing
support to young parents pursuing their education, and 10 nonprofit organizations that
provide ESOL classes. 8 It stands to reason that local services are likely to have the
greatest impact if they can be coordinated effectively and collaboratively – and if local
private, public, and nonprofit resources are working together to address the multifaceted
challenges their residents may face.
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Research by the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston’s Yolanda Kodrzycki and Ana
Patricia Muñoz found that having effective civic leadership and a common vision within
a city paired with strong cross-sector, collaborative support for that vision can
significantly improve the chances of a city improving its economic circumstances. 9
Their research illustrates that a big part of the answer to these complicated and
persistent challenges facing mid-size cities is people in multiple sectors working
collaboratively with a common vision. In addition, their research suggests that civic
infrastructure is a prerequisite to physical infrastructure, requiring active leadership of
cross-sector “muscle,” spirited consensus, and passion and perseverance over the long
haul. Put another way, it may take 10 to 15 passionate but collaborative visionaries
pushing for some 10 to 15 years to achieve transformational change.
For the skeptics among us, allow me to acknowledge the obvious: economic
development in these challenged cities will take time. The task and toil required are not
unlike the paradox of the long distance runner. In order to reach the finish line
successfully, one needs equal amounts of patience and urgency. What our research
suggests is that like-minded local leaders collaboratively focused on an agreed-upon
vision may be the key ingredient.
Reinventing Cities
Figure 8 shows the mid-sized Massachusetts cities with the largest increase in
median family income, measured relative to the United States as a whole. Three of the
four were relatively prosperous in 1959 and have seen improvements in median family
income relative to the United States since then. However, one of those cities, Cambridge,
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stands out as a city that was below the U.S. median family income in 1979, but has done
especially well over the past three decades. In fact, Cambridge was among the 10 midsized cities with the lowest family income in Massachusetts in 1979, and has since made
significant progress.
Clearly, Cambridge has benefited from large and important anchor educational
institutions that have played a significant role in the city’s success. However, these
institutions were in Cambridge well before 1979, yet only in the past 30 years have we
seen significant improvements in median family income relative to the United States
median. To be sure, many would cite gentrification as a complicated matter affecting the
enhanced performance of some communities over time, Cambridge among them.
While proximity to Boston and its strong educational, financial, and medical
institutions has helped many Massachusetts cities to prosper, there are examples of midsized cities in New England that have reinvented themselves in other ways. Figure 9
shows two other mid-sized cities in the region that have suffered major declines in
manufacturing, but, as shown in Figure 10, have experienced significantly improved
family incomes relative to the United States median. Both Portland, Maine, and
Portsmouth, New Hampshire – much like Cambridge, Massachusetts – had median
family incomes well below that of the nation in 1979, but have shown significant
improvement since then. Again, gentrification’s mixed effects and role must be taken
into account, as it potentially increases the challenges for low- and moderate-income
families in communities that are making progress.
Noting that some cities in New England and the nation have succeeded in
reinventing themselves post-manufacturing, and given our research that highlighted the
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need to have strong cross-sector collaboration, we at the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston
considered how we could facilitate and support revival in some of our region’s mid-sized
cities. The implementation of that vision has been the project we call the Working Cities
Challenge. 10
What Distinguishes “Working” Cities?
The Working Cities Challenge is an outgrowth of earlier community development
work at the Boston Fed. For example, we participated in a joint Brookings Institution
and Federal Reserve study on concentrated poverty published in 2008. 11 As an
outgrowth of that project, we began working with the city of Springfield, Massachusetts,
a populous “gateway” city that once had a strong manufacturing base, and studied the
civic dynamics in similar mid-sized cities that had experienced success in reinventing
themselves post-manufacturing. 12
Looking to translate that research into action, we launched a competition among
20 mid-sized Massachusetts cities that we identified as having a below-median family
income and above-median poverty rates. 13 The proposals those cities submitted needed
to demonstrate strong collaboration between local businesses, nonprofits, and local
governments. The cities vied for multi-year grants that would help to support the work
described in their proposal.
Interestingly, in order to get the program up and running, we at the Boston Fed
needed to change our own behavior, step out of our comfort zone, and begin to
collaborate with cross-sector parties we had not worked with before. We tried to
“practice what we preached” by actively adopting the very collaboration we were
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advocating for in the competition. Collaborating with outside parties turned out to be a
most illuminating experience, one we are still learning from as we consider broadening
the program to other states in New England.
We didn’t fund the grants ourselves – our private, public, and philanthropic
partners did 14 – nor did we choose the winners. 15 What we did do was incent the
development of the collaborative vision in each city by allowing only one proposal per
city and requiring high-level involvement from business, nonprofit, and local government
leaders. Proposals could focus on any issue area, as long as they were meant to improve
the lives of low- and moderate-income citizens in their community.
While we were looking for innovative proposals, this was as much about the
process as the project. By that I refer to the ability of business leaders, government
officials, and nonprofit organizations in a particular city to focus on a specific problem
facing low- and moderate-income individuals in their city and work collaboratively to
solve it.
Hopefully, this process of working together will provide benefits well after the
particular project that the Working Cities Challenge funded is over. This is particularly
true in relation to the private sector, which in some cases has not been at the table and
actively engaged.
As a result of this relatively unconstrained application process, each of the 20
Working Cities put forward a proposal that addressed specific, systemic challenges facing
their low- and moderate-income residents. In the western Massachusetts city of Holyoke,
the city team focused their proposal on ways to encourage Hispanic and Latino
entrepreneurship. While nearly half of the city’s population identifies as Hispanic or
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Latino, only 9 percent of Holyoke’s businesses are currently Latino-owned. By
streamlining access to the city’s economic development services, the Holyoke team’s
initiative aims to bring this figure to 25 percent over the next 10 years.
A number of the proposals focused on helping cities make informed decisions
using data, a complicated and challenging area for smaller cities. In Fitchburg, the city is
implementing a “report card” for its North of Main neighborhood that tracks municipal
indicators including education, public safety, economic development, and housing – to
name a few. They hope to use the results to make better decisions about how the city
allocates funding and resources for the neighborhood and its residents.
Earlier in this talk I mentioned the city of Lawrence and the challenges its
residents faced due to poor performance in the school system. Lawrence actually won
the top prize in the Working Cities Challenge for a proposal that focused on its schools in
a unique way.
Their plan aims to strengthen the economic security of parents of children in the
Lawrence Public Schools by creating a network of workforce-supportive services ranging
from specialized adult education and certificate training, employer internships, financial
coaching, and expanded access to child care – which is often crucial to helping a parent
be able to work more hours. Lawrence is also committed to making the school
community open and accessible to Latino residents – historically a challenge for many
gateway cities. In implementing this comprehensive network of services, the Lawrence
team has a goal of raising the income of parents with children in the Lawrence Public
School System by 15 percent over a 10-year period.
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In Chelsea, the team is working to transform the city’s Shurtleff-Bellingham
neighborhood from a transient, high-poverty area into a neighborhood where residents
have the opportunity to climb out of poverty, then choose to stay long-term and invest
time and resources.
On Thursday, Chair Yellen and I visited Chelsea to meet with the leaders and
clients of CONNECT, a consortium of local organizations that works collaboratively to
provide integrated employment services for local residents related to economic
instability, housing, and financial and educational opportunities. 16 While there, we were
able to hear from residents directly about how programs like CONNECT are making a
difference in their community, especially for those residents who are trying to enter or reenter the workforce. I found it very rewarding to be able to talk with Chelsea residents
and see that the sort of collaboration encouraged by efforts like the Working Cities
Challenge is indeed having a positive impact on their lives.
We are still in the first year of implementation, and realize that it will take some
time to see the full results. One positive outcome that we have seen so far is that the
engaged participation of cities in the competition has encouraged other organizations to
undertake similar endeavors. While the ultimate socioeconomic impact of this
competition may take years to observe in the data, the initial qualitative results look
promising. The Federal Reserve Bank of Boston will be looking to replicate the
experience in other states in New England, with the unique characteristics of each state
impacting the exact design of the competition.
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Concluding Observations
In summary and conclusion, I would note that a variety of studies have
highlighted important interventions that can affect economic opportunity. Most of these
interventions – services and education, for example – are produced at the local level, so it
stands to reason that the effective delivery of such services can be significantly impacted
by the effectiveness with which communities and local institutions work together in
providing the services. Money alone is not sufficient. Many of the Massachusetts cities
that have lagged the nation have performed worse over time despite significant
expenditure of governmental or nonprofit funds in these cities.
Our research at the Boston Fed suggests, in addition, that a crucial factor in these
outcomes may be the inability of institutions and groups in these cities to mobilize
around, support, and pull toward a collaborative vision for change.
This highlights that creating true economic opportunity may require new thinking
and tactics, and new points of emphasis – such as civic collaboration and leadership –
rather than just an increase in funds. The Boston Fed, sparked by its research that
highlighted the long-term benefits of cross-sector collaboration around a common vision,
is looking to expand the Working Cities Challenge to try to incent communities to help
themselves.
Concentrated, intergenerational poverty suggests that inequality of opportunity is
a community issue. Most agree that equality of opportunity is a crucial social goal.
Hopefully, research such as that done at this conference and policy experimentation of
the sort promoted by the Working Cities Challenge will make noticeable headway in
attaining this vital goal. While we must not underestimate the challenges, hopefully we
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will be able to look back a decade or so from now and see significant progress in our
communities and steady improvements in equality of opportunity for people.
Thank you.
1
Nor are these issues just an annual event. For example, the Boston Fed’s interest in ensuring fair access
to credit for all individuals was evident in research and analysis in the early 1990s culminating in the
landmark study of mortgage lending in 1992 that found that race was being used as a factor in mortgage
lending decisions. Nor is it restricted to research, as the Boston Fed worked with banks and community
organizations to try and make fair lending a reality. And more recently, the Boston Fed attempted to
mitigate the effects of the recent mortgage market crisis by pursuing a variety of programs to help prevent
unnecessary foreclosures – most notably three large foreclosure-prevention workshops.
2
Not surprisingly, the Boston Fed’s concern for the unemployed is evident when it comes to the
formulation of national monetary policy. The Bank has a longstanding emphasis on the employment side
of the Fed’s mandate that has characterized the policymaking and speeches of the Boston Fed presidents
since the 1970s – Frank Morris, Dick Syron, Cathy Minehan, and myself.
3
For a good overview see Richard Reeve’s essay “Equality, Opportunity, and the American Dream.”
4
Ron Haskins and Isabel Sawhill in their book, “Creating an Opportunity Society,” discuss a variety of
economic policies that could improve economic opportunity. Many of the policies would require effective
provision of local services.
5
We define Massachusetts mid-sized cities as cities and towns with a population of 35,000 – 200,000 in
2010 and a population of at least 30,000 in 1960. Thirty-three Massachusetts cities and towns meet these
criteria: Arlington, Beverly, Braintree, Brockton, Brookline, Cambridge, Chelsea, Chicopee, Everett, Fall
River, Fitchburg, Framingham, Haverhill, Holyoke, Lawrence, Lowell, Lynn, Malden, Medford, New
Bedford, Newton, Peabody, Pittsfield, Quincy, Revere, Salem, Somerville, Springfield, Taunton, Waltham,
Weymouth, Woburn, and Worcester.
6
For this analysis, we used the 2008 – 2010 American Community Survey (ACS) data.
7
http://www.massinc.org/Programs/Gateway-Cities/About-the-Gateway-Cities.aspx
8
Another consideration is the dissemination of state aid to local communities. Policy analysts in the
Boston Fed’s New England Public Policy Center (NEPPC) explored this for Massachusetts and found that
the current local aid formula effectively gives favorable treatment to communities receiving more existing
aid compared with those receiving less or no existing aid. As a fairer alternative, the authors proposed a
new approach that considers existing and new aid together in filling the local gap. Bo Zhao and Katharine
Bradbury, "Designing State Aid Formulas: The Case of a New Formula for Distributing Municipal Aid in
Massachusetts," New England Public Policy Center Working Paper 08-2 (2008)
http://www.bostonfed.org/economic/neppc/wp/2008/neppcwp0802.htm
9
Yolanda Kodrzycki and Ana Patricia Muñoz, "Reinvigorating Springfield's Economy: Lessons from
Resurgent Cities," FRB Boston Community Development Discussion Papers Series, No. 09-3 (2009). An
abbreviated version of this research, entitled “Lessons from Resurgent Mid-Sized Manufacturing Cities,”
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appears as chapter 5 of Susan M. Wachter and Kimberly Zeuli, eds., Revitalizing America’s Cities,
University of Pennsylvania Press, 2014. http://www.bostonfed.org/economic/ppdp/2009/ppdp0906.htm
10
The Working Cities Challenge is an initiative led by the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston with a twofold
goal: to advance collaborative leadership in Massachusetts’ mid-sized cities and to support ambitious work
to improve the lives of low-income people in those cities. For more information, visit:
http://www.bostonfed.org/workingcities/
11
http://www.frbsf.org/community-development/files/cp_fullreport.pdf
12
This work helped inform Kodrzycki and Muñoz’s paper.
13
The participating cities were Lawrence, Fitchburg, Holyoke, Chelsea, Salem, Somerville, Brockton,
Chicopee, Everett, Fall River, Haverhill, Lowell, Lynn, Malden, New Bedford, Pittsfield, Revere,
Springfield, Taunton, and Worcester. For more information, visit
http://www.bostonfed.org/workingcities/cities/index.htm
14
For the full list of funding partners, competition partners, and steering committee members, please see
http://bostonfed.org/WorkingCities/about/partners.htm
15
For a description of the challenge jury selection process as well as a full list of jurors, please visit
http://bostonfed.org/WorkingCities/about/challenge-jury-selection-process.htm
16
http://www.connectnow.org/
17
Cite this document
APA
Eric Rosengren (2014, October 17). Regional President Speech. Speeches, Federal Reserve. https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/regional_speeche_20141018_eric_rosengren
BibTeX
@misc{wtfs_regional_speeche_20141018_eric_rosengren,
author = {Eric Rosengren},
title = {Regional President Speech},
year = {2014},
month = {Oct},
howpublished = {Speeches, Federal Reserve},
url = {https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/regional_speeche_20141018_eric_rosengren},
note = {Retrieved via When the Fed Speaks corpus}
}