speeches · June 3, 1981
Regional President Speech
J. Roger Guffey · President
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Notes: Future of Banking
1. Flavor of future financial services:
A. More automated access to financial sen'ices
(TV, telephone, etc.) and debit cards.
B. Types of services:
1. MMF's
2. Insurance
3. Stock and bond purchases and sales
4. Retail transactions - grocery stores, etc.
5. Business transactions - payroll, suppliers, etc.
6. Personal financial planning, including tax preparation, estate
planning, etc.
C. These services are currently offered by individual firms. Question
is who will offer them in the future. Will banks gain access to
them?
1. The more restricted an institution in offering the services,
the more limited it will be in packaging services.
2. Access to communications channels with customers will be a key
issue.
-will communications lines be public?
-how will individual companies communicate with customers?
II. The institutional barriers are being tested on many fronts today.
A. MMF's are reaching bank and thrift customers.
-instrument for large transactions
-pay competitive return
B. American Express - Shearson Loeb Rhoades, Prudential - Bache mergers
~ge many barriers.
-insurance
-brokerage services
-travel business
-credit cards
- 2
-real estate
-communications system
C. Potential implications of mergers.
-Customers, with credit cards, could access retail services, invest
ments in MMF's, stock transactions, etc.. Potential for a world-wide
system.
-The credit card and cable and satellite communications systems
under American Express control may give it a competitive advantage.
III. The path to and issues of the future.
A. MCA was a start.
1. Started deregulation.
2. Began removing some institutional barriers between thrifts
and banks.
3. Overall, however, it sanctified what was already going on.
(S & L's aren't in a position to undertake consumer lending,
transaction-type accounts already existed.)
B. Inter-State banking.
1. When it comes it will likely be anticlimatic:
-Currently have interstate banking for international trade
business (Edge Act Corporations).
-LPO's and finance companies compete across state lines for
a large volume of lending.
-MMF's and the many managed liability instruments of banks
and S & L' s have expanded the funds gathering process to an
international business. When funds are priced at competitive
market rates and corne from national markets, brick and mortar
branches become less attractive .
2. The significant issue will be placement of electronic terminals
and access to communications links to customers. Some
facilities acquisitions will be important. (e. g. major regional
banks. )
C. The major issue will be how banks and bank holding companies will be
linked to nonbanking financial services.
&
1. Bank holding company acquisitions of S L's.
- 3
2. Affiliations through ownership or correspondent-type relation
ships with:
-insurance services
-brokerage services
-travel business
-real estate business
-communications services
-financial consulting and planning
D. I f the re gul atory/legal cons traints are not removed rapidly enough,
... some larger banks may be inclined to relinquish their banking
cha rters t compete.
IV. What type of regulatory structure will be required that can provide
necessary safeguards and yet be flexible?
A. What will require safeguarding? Specific services, firms, entire
organizations?
B. What agency or group of agencies will do the regulating?
-Will the regulatory structure follow parts of an institution or
the institutional whole?
-We currently take both approaches: bank holding companies and
banks.
Cite this document
APA
J. Roger Guffey (1981, June 3). Regional President Speech. Speeches, Federal Reserve. https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/regional_speeche_19810604_j_roger_guffey
BibTeX
@misc{wtfs_regional_speeche_19810604_j_roger_guffey,
author = {J. Roger Guffey},
title = {Regional President Speech},
year = {1981},
month = {Jun},
howpublished = {Speeches, Federal Reserve},
url = {https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/regional_speeche_19810604_j_roger_guffey},
note = {Retrieved via When the Fed Speaks corpus}
}