greenbooks · August 19, 1974
Greenbook/Tealbook
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Content last modified 6/05/2009.
CONFIDENTIAL (FR)
SUPPLEMENT
CURRENT ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL CONDITIONS
Prepared for the
Federal Open Market Committee
August 16, 1974
By the Staff
Board of Governors
of the Federal Reserve System
SUPPLEMENTAL NOTES
The Domestic Economy
Construction and real estate.
Seasonally adjusted private
housing starts, which had increased in June,
dropped sharply in July to an
annual rate of 1.34 million units--the lowest rate since May 1970.
Starts
of all types of units were down, although the already reduced rate of
multi-family starts was especially weaker than a month earlier.
While
all regions shared in the decline, starts in the Northeast were substantially
lower than in June.
Residential building permits also declined in
July,
the fourth consecutive month-to-month decrease, and reached the lowest level
in
7 years.
Despite an increase in single-family unit completions in June,
total completions of new housing units in the second quarter slowed further
to an annual rate of about 1.7 million units,
their lowest since mid-1971.
However, the backlog of dwellings under construction continued relatively
high,
totaling 1.5 million units at the end of June.
Mobile home shipments edged down further in June, and, in the
second quarter, shipments were 32 percent below the first quarter 1973 peak.
New home prices in
the second quarter of 1974 continued to rise.
The Census Bureau's price index of new single-family homes sold, which
adjusts for differences in house characteristics, increased to 157 percent
of the 1967 average--9 percent above a year earlier, but somewhat less than
the 11 percent year-over-year increase in the second quarter of 1973.
-2NEW HOUSING UNITS
(Seasonally adjusted annual rates, in millions of units)
1974
June(p) July(p)
Percent change in
July from:
Month ago
Year ago
QI
QII( p)
Permits (r)
1.34
1.17
1.11
1.04
-
6
- 43
Starts
1.63
1.5 6
1.59
1.34
- 16
- 38
.94
.69
.988
.58
1.01
.58
7
- 32
- 24
- 57
Under construction 1/
1.56
1.4 8
1.48
n.a.
-
2
Completions
1.90
1.7 3
1.82
n.a.
+
8 2/
.46
.44
.44
n.a.
1-family
2- or more-family
MEMO:
Mobile home shipments
1/
2/
.94
.39
/
- 12 2/
- 16 2/
- 27 2/
Seasonally adjusted, end of period.
Percent changes based on June.
Sales of new domestic-type autos in the first 10 day period of
August were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 9.9 million units,
5 percent above the same period a year ago.
This was the second consecutive
10 day period sales were above those of last year and is attributed to the
closing of incentive contests at Chevrolet and borrowing of sales from
months ahead as consumers try to beat the big price increases on 1975
models.
In July this year, the sales rate was 8.2 million units; in August
last year, the rate was 9.5 million units.
-3The Domestic Financial Situation
Consumer credit.
Personal bankruptcy filings increased sharply
during the second quarter, continuing the first quarter's
ruptcies filed were 14.4 percent higher than in
according to the U.S.
Courts,
upturn.
Bank-
last year's second quarter,
and preliminary July figures indicate a
22 percent advance over July last year.
An index of non-rate terms on new car loans at finance companies
continued to decline during the second quarter indicating more restrictive
lending terms.
In recent months the index has fallen because declining loan-
value-to-dealer-cost
ratios have outweighed the effect of the emerging move-
ment towards over-36 month
maturities.
PERSONAL BANKRUPTCIES
Number
cases filed
172,643
159,144
157,672
1971
1972
1973
Percent change
year-over-year
- 8.3
- 7.8
.9
37,918
- 8.5
QII
39,394
+
QIII
QIV
41,521
38,884
+ 4.4
+
.7
1973 - QI
1974 - QI
QII
Source: Administrative Office,
Board of Governors.
U.S.
43,051
45,074
Courts.
.4
+13.5
+14.4
Seasonally adjusted at the
-4NON-RATE NEW-CAR LOAN TERMS
LOAN TERMS INDEX, S.A.
(FINANCE COMPANIES)
1971
1972
93.8
100.1
1973
104.6
1973 -
QI
QII
QIII
QIV
1974 - QI
- QII
NOTE:
104.7
105.4
103.6
104.8
103.2
101.6
This index is a weighted average of the proportion of all new car
contracts at finance companies having maturities of 31-36 months,
and over 36 months, and of the proportion included in three
categories of loan-value-to-dealer-cost ratio: 101-105 percent,
106-110 percent, and over 110 percent. The index is constructed
so that higher index values represent more liberal terms.
1965QI = 100.0.
Mortgage market.
According to the HUD (FHA) opinion survey,
average interest rates on new commitments for conventional new- and existinghome loans in the primary market rose 15 basis points further during July
to new highs of 9.40 percent--45 basis points above the peak last September.
Private secondary market yields on 9 percent FHA-insured new-home mortgages
rose 39 basis points to a new high of 9.85 percent.
With such mortgages
selling at discounts of more than 6 points, the maximum contract interest
rate on Government-underwritten mortgages was raised one-half percentage
point to a record level of 9-1/2 percent, effective August 14.
- 5 AVERAGE RATES AND YIELDS ON NEW-HOME MORTGAGES
(HUD-FHA Field Office Opinion Survey)
End of month
1973 - Low
High
Primary market
Conventional loans
Spread 4/
Level 2/
points)
(basis
(percent)
Secondary market
FHA-insured loans
Spread /
Discounts
Level 3/
(points)
(percent) (basis points,)
7.70 (Jan.)
30 (Jan.)
8.95 (Sept.) 114 (Sept.)
7.55 (Jan.)
9.18 (Sept.)
2.2(Dec.)
15 (Jan.)
137 (Sept.) 9.4(July)
--40
8.65
1974 - Jan.
2.3
8.54
44
Feb.
8.55
45
3.2
2
8.66
- 4
Mar.
8.60
5.1
9.17
19
Apr.
8.90
- 8
37
5.3
6
9.46
May
9.15
5.3
9.46
- 4
June
9.25
-25
6.3
n.a.
9.85
n.a.
9.40
July
1/ Any gaps in data are due to periods of adjustment to changes in maximum
permissible contract rates on FHA-insured loans.
2/ Average contract rate (excluding fees or points) on commitments for
conventional first mortgage loans, rounded to the nearest 5 basis points.
3/ Average gross yield (before deducting servicing costs) to investors on
30-year minimum-downpayment FHA-insured first mortgages for immediate
delivery in the private secondary market (excluding FNMA), assuming prepayment in 15 years.
4/ Average gross mortgage rate or yield minus average yield on new issues
of Aaa utility bonds in the last week of the month.
Deposit flows.
Based on sample data, the FHLB staff estimate
that S&Ls had a net outflow of about $200 million during the first 10 days
of August.
The table below shows the pattern of estimated intra-monthly
flows in early August and in other previous periods.
ESTIMATED DEPOSIT FLOWS AT INSURED SAVINGS
AND LOAN ASSOCIATIONS
(Millions of dollars)
1st 10 days
2nd 10 days
last 11 days
Month
1973 - August
-300
-500
-700
-1,500
1972 - August
800
400
400
1,600
1974 - July
August
0
-200
-100
--
-400
--
-
500
--
-6INTEREST RATES
1974
Highs
Lows
July 15
Aug.
15
Short-Term Rates
Federal funds (wkly. avg.)
13.55(7/3)
8.81(2/27)
13.34(7/10)
12.02(8/14)
9.02(8/8)
12.25(7/17)
12.75(8/15)
14.38(7/16)
6.93( 2/6)
7.75(2/22)
8.13(2/25)
8.25(2/18)
7.62
12.25
12.75
14.38
8.76
11.75
12.75
13.63
12.00(7/17)
7.88(2/20)
12.00(7/10) 11.88(8/14)
3-month
Treasury bills (bid)
Comm. paper (90-119 day)
Bankers acceptances
Euro-dollars
CD's (NYC) 90-119 day
Most often quoted new
6-month
Treasury bills (bid)
Comm. paper (4-6 mo.)
Federal agencies
CD's (NYC) 180-269 day
Most often quoted new
9.01( 8/8) 6.80(2/19)
12.13(7/10) 7.50(2/22)
9.98(8/15) 7.16(2/19)
7.64
12.00
9.79
8.76
11.63
9.98
10.75(7/17) 7.50(2/27)
10.75(7/10)
10.50(8/14)
1-year
8.65( 5/3) 6.37(2/15)
9.59(7/10) 7.01(2/19)
7.87
9.40
8.49
9.59
9.75(7/17) 7.00(2/27)
6.50(7/12) 3.70(2/15)
9.75(7/10)
6.50(7/12)
9.25(8/14)
6.00(8/16)
Treasury coupon issues
5-years
20-years
8.68( 8/2) 6.72(2/14)
8.63(8/13) 7.40( 1/4)
8.42
8.31
8.57
8.58
Corporate
Seasoned Aaa
Baa
8.99(8/15) 7.73( 1/2)
9.76(8/16) 8.54( 1/2)
8.69
9.52
8.99
9.76
Treasury bills (bid)
Federal agencies
CD's (NYC)
Most often quoted new
Prime municipals
Intermediate and Long-Term
New Issue Aaa Utility
Municipal
Bond Buyer Index
Mortgage--average yield
in FNMA auction
10.30(7/31) 8.05(2/13)
6.95(7/10) 5.16( 2/6)
10.12(8/12) 8.43(2/25)
10.25(7/10) 10.10p(8/14)
6.95(7/10)
9.90
6.61(6/14)
10.12(8/12)
-
7--
CORRECTIONS
Part II, Section III page 4.
Table - Commercial Bank Credit.
In July, business loans at banks grew at a 19.7 percent annual
rate, not the -19.7 percent rate shown in the table.
Part II, Section IV page 7.
In the table on "U.S. Balance of Payments".
The line on "Bank-reported claims" includes some liquid claims
reported by nonbanking concerns.
SUPPLEMENTAL APPENDIX A*
MONTHLY SURVEY OF BANK LOAN COMMITMENTS
June 30, 1974
Unused commitments for business loans, loans to nonbank financial
institutions, and real estate mortgages all declined during June at the
134 banks reporting in the Monthly Survey of Bank Loan Commitments. During
the second quarter as a whole, unused commitments in most categories of
loans reported on the survey grew more slowly than in the first quarter
or declined and, hence, total unused commitments fell. An important exception to the general trend has been the relatively rapid growth of unused
commitments for term loans to business. While this may be an unrecognized
seasonal development--the survey began only late last year--nonfinancial
corporations appear to be building up large commitments for financing
through at least late 1975.
The decline in volume of unused commitments in the second
quarter appears to be attributable to both the sharp expansion of outstanding loans in some categories and to the declining rate of extensions
of new commitments. The large rise in loans made under commitments to nonbank financial institutions during the quarter undoubtedly contributed to
the decline in unused commitments to those institutions. On the other
hand, while business loans at the survey banks grew only slightly less
rapidly than during the first quarter, unused commitments for these loans
grew at half the pace of the first quarter. Further, unused commitments
for real estate loans declined at the same time that outstanding real estate
loans made under commitment remained about unchanged. The decline in new
commitment activity presumably reflects more restrictive bank lending
policies. Substantial tightening in terms of lending was reported by banks
in the May lending practices survey and has been confirmed more recently in
staff conversations with bank lending officers.
The easing in unused commitments caused most utilization ratios
to rise appreciably in June. Except for business term loans, the utilization
ratios have been gradually rising since the survey began late last year.
*Prepared by Paul W. Boltz,
and Statistics.
Economist,
Banking Section, Division of Research
MONTHLY SURVEY OF BANK LOAN COMMITMENTS
AT SELECTED LARGE U.S. BANKS 1/
(AS OF JUN. 30, 1974)
NOT FOR
QUOTATION OR
PUBLICATION
TABLE 1 - UNUSED COMMITMENTS
(DOLLAR AMOUNTS IN BILLIONS)
I
I
I
(1)
C
I
FIRMS
TOTAL
AMT
19
I
NOVEMBER 30
DECEMBER
31
rutI
I
AUT
I
83.31
0.01
I
I
82.71 -0.71
I
I
JANUARY 31
84.71
2.41
I
I
FEBRUARY 28
85.41
0.91
I
I
84.81 -0.71
MARCH 31
I
APRIL 30
84.91
I
MAY 31
JUNE 30
NOV 73 - JUN 74
AVERAGE
I
0.19
It
rutI
(3)
C
I
REVOLVING
CREDITS
I
(4)
1
I
C CI
I
ITERM LOANS Ct
IREV. CREDITS
It ruel
AMT
AMT
I
5.31 0.01
1
1.51
I 3.81
18.61 -2.11
5.21 -4.81
18.31
1
5.51
4.71
I
4.61
5.71
I
6.31 10.8
I
19.01
I
0.01!
0.51
6.21 -2.41
9.81
5.81
I
24.21
rult
AMT
I
0.01
74.01 -0.81 I
I
t
I
54.61
rucl
0.01I
25.01
18.61
I
18.81
19.1
1.11
1.71
18.71
1
0.21
25.01
25.91
I1
ruti
AMT
I
4.41
0.01
I
I
4.11
56.71
0.31
4.71
I1
I
55.91 -1.61I
I
3.41 55.21
I1
0.21 56.61
I1
1
3.71 55.71
1.01
I
56.61
55.7
55.71
1.71
1
4.81
4.81 2.51
I
4.81 -0.31
I
2.61
I
1
24.51
AMT
4.31 -1.81
I
4.61 7.11
54.31 -0.51
I
I
18.411
1.1
3.81
5.81
1
23.51 -2.31
-1.61
I1
1
18.51 1.31 24.01
I
-0.51
24.11 0.71I
I
6.81
I
(7)
1
(6)
1
(5)
I
I NON-BANK I
C
r
I
C
FINANCIAL I
I
OTHER
CONFIRMED I
LINER
ICOMMITMENTS IINSTITUTIONSI
1
I
86.21
1.51
1
I
85.91 -0.31
I
I
I
I
84.71
I
I
I
(2)
C
I
TERM
LOANS
0.31
4.61 -4.31
1
1
4.31 -6.81
I4.61 I
4.69 -0.3l
I9
I
27.61
rUFI
(8)
REAL
ESTATE
MORTGAGES
AMT
I
0.01
I
26.91 -2.41
I
"27.91 3.61
I
I
28.21
1.11
27.81 -1.41
1
26.71 -3.91
I1
I1
0.21
26.81
IT
IT
rwC_
I
I
0.01 119.51
0.0
1
I
I 0.31 118.31 -1.0
18.
I
2.3
-2.6 121.01
I
8.41 -1.21 122.01
0.7
I1
I
I
8.11 -3.41 120.71 -1.0
I
8.11 0.21 119.71 -0.8
I1
1
8.01 -1.31 120.91
1.0
I
-1.11
I
267.311
27.31 -0.61
7.81
I
MINOR INCONSISTENCIES MAY OCCUR DUE TO ROUNDING. **
120.21 -0.5
1
18.
8.31 -1.41
1/ BANKS PARTICIPATING IN THE MONTHLY LOAN COMMITMENT SURVEY ARE SELECTED WEEKLY REPORTING BANKS WITH TOTAL DEPOSITS
OF $100 MILLION OR MORE.
NOTE:
AMT
rU~I
NUMBER OF BANKS
**
(9)
I
TOTAL
t
I COMMITMENTS
I
120.3
120.31
0.1
NOT FOR
QUOTATION OR
PUBLICATION
MONTHLY SURVEY OF BANK LOAN COMMITMENTS
AT SELECTED LARGE U.S. BANKS 1/
(AS OF JUN. 30, 1974)
TABLE 2 - LOANS UNDER COMMITMENTS 2/
(DOLLAR AMOUNTS IN BILLIONS)
(1)
I
C
I
FIRMS
TOTAL
I
I
AMT
NOVEMBER 30
DECEMBER 31
19
r-l|
I
I
70.31 0.01
I
I
71.81 2.11
I
I
JANUARY 31
70.Q9
FEBRUARY 28
I
72.31
-1.31
I
2.01
I
I
APRIL 30
77.01 6.51
I
I
79.21 2.81
MAY 31
1
79.81
I
0.81
I
I
MARCH 31
JUNE 30
NOV 73 - JUN 74
AVERAGE
82.01
2.71
(2)
TERM
LOANS
AUT
IV
I
18.61
I
19.01
(4)
C E
I
I
euclS
&MT
If
rurl
0.01
I
2.71
5.51
AMT
I
I
I
19.01 -0.41
I
I1
1.21
19.21
I
I
19.41 1.31
19.71 0.01
1
I
19.61 -0.31
I1
I
19.71 0.71
20.21
I
21.21
21.41
I
2.51
I
4.71
I
1.01
20.81
76.2I
I2.21
76.21 2.21 19.81
1.01
0.51
1.7
1.71
21.81
I
22.21
1.81
2
20.91
0.01
I
1
38.61
1.21
I
I1
38.61 -0.11
I
f
39.41 2.11
19
40.61
3.01
25.71
'2.51
43.11
0.01
3.11
1.41
1.41
1.4(
26.61
3.41
1.71
IT
6.41
6.61
I
25.51 -4.01
6.71
I
26.41
12.4
3.61
29.71 12.41
30.81
30.31 -1.51
6.51
31.91
5.41
3.31
ruIl
AMT
IT
(8)
REAL
ESTATE
MORTGAGES
AMT
rucI
IT
I
0.01
3.01
1
-2.91
(9)
TOTAL
COMMITMENTS
I
rclI AMT
12 CHC
I
0.01 106.21
IP.11
I
I
18.41 -7.01
1
18.11
I
18.11
0.01 107.31 -2.1
108.81
1.3
19.81
18,31 -0.41
I
1.41 109.71
0.21
3.2
I
6.71
3.61
I
I
6.51 -3.21
I
I
7.01
7.91
19.31
5.61
I
18.21
1
0.7
0.21 114.61
5.3
I
20.61
6.41
18.21
117.91
2.9
0.1? 118.41
-0.71
0.21 122.81
0.11
18.11 -0.71
0.4
0.21 114.21
2.1
20.41 -0.71
I
6.91 -1.21
6.71
1
I
I1
1.21
I
1
22.81
3.6
I
19.91
19.91
I
3.61
18.11
NUMBER OF BANKS
1/ BANKS PARTICIPATING IN THE MONTHLY LOAN COMMITMENT SURVEY ARE SELECTED WEEKLY REPORTING BANKS WITH TOTAL DEPOSITS
OF $100 MILLION OR MORE.
2/ LOANS UNDER COMMITMENTS ARE DEFINED AS ALL LOANS UNDER COMMITMENTS CURRENTLY OR PREVIOUSLY IN FORCE, LESS PEPAYMENTS OF THE
PRINCIPAL. THE REPORTED DATA ARE DISTORTED BY TAKEDOWNS OF LOAN COMMITMENTS BY OVERSEAS BRANCHES OF US BANKS AND LOAN SALES.
** NOTE:
0.0
0.011
9.61
I
1.31
17.81
18.01I
I
I
I
I
S
28.71
I
(7)
I
I
I NON-BANK
I FINANCIAL (
IINSTITUTIONSI
I
I
1
1
40.71
AMT
I
I
I
41.91
ruMI
I
I
1.
1.8
AMT
38.21
I
2.21
ruPrI
(5)
I
(6)
I
C
I
C EI
CONFIRMED I
OTHER
ICOMMITMENTS
LINES
I
I
20.71
I
REVOLVING ITERM LOANS El
CREDITS
IREV. CREDITS1
I
20.51
1
(3)
c
I
MINOR INCONSISTENCIES MAY OCCUR DUE TO ROUNDING. **
MONTHLY SURVEY OF BANK LOAN COMMITMENTS
AT SELECTED LARGE U.S. BANKS 1/
(AS OF JUN. 30, 1974)
NOT FOR
QUOTATION OR
PUBLICATION
TABLE 3 -
UTILIZATION RATIO 2/
(PERCENTAGES)
NOVEMBER 30
DECEMBER 31
(1)
C
I
FIRMS
TOTAL
(2)
C c
TERM
LOANS
45.8
77.8
46.5
I
(7)
I (6)
18)
I
(4)
T
(5I
f
(31
NON-BANK
REAL
I
I C
I
CI I
C
I
I
CE
OTHER
FINANCIAL I
ESTATE
REEVOLVING ITERM + REV .1 CONFIRMED I
IRTGAGES
SLINES
ICOMMITMENTSI
INSTS.
I MO
I
C:REDITS
I
I
I
I
I
50.9
51.4
77.6
I
I
61.2
61.6
1
I
32.0
32.8
I
I
59.4
1
60.5
45.6
78.4
51.9
62.1
FEBRUARY 28
45.9
77.8
52.2
62.2
MARCH 31
47.6
77.3
53.5
62.7
APRIL 30
48.3
76.4
53.5
62.7
MAY 31
48.1
77.0
53.6
JUNE 30
48.8
75.4
53.7
NOV 73 - JUN 74
AVERAGE
47.1
77.2
52.6
1
I
I
31.8
I
58.1
I 34.9
62.4
I
36.4
62.2
1
33.7
58.3
I
I
I
7.6
39.8
67.
48.1
41.1
39.7
68.1
47.0
39.6
39.4
6P.4
47.1
39.8
41.0
69.3
48.7
41.8
43.5
69.2
49.6
42.9
43.3
69.5
49.5
42.7
46.2
69.8
50.5
44.3
68.7
48.4
41.5
42.3
I
I
60.5
S 61.9
I
1
47.0
1
I
35.8
62.9
I
59.2
I
34.7
67.3
39.5
I
S31.1
I
(10)
SHORT
-TFRM
TOTAL 3/
I
I
JANUARY 31
(9)
TOTAL
59.4
59.4
I
I
41.
I
NUMBEP OF BANKS
1/ BANKS PARTICIPATING IN THE MONTHLY LOAN COMMITMENT SURVEY ARE SELECTED WEEKLY REPORTING BANKS WITH TOTAL DEPOSITS
OF $100 MILLION OR MORE.
2/ THE UTILIZATION RATIO IS THE RATIO, EXPRESSED AS A PERCENTAGE, OF LOANS UNDER COMMITMENTS TO THE SUM OF UNUSED COMMITMENTS
AND LOANS UNDER COMMITMENTS
3/ EXCLUDES REAL ESTATE LOANS AND TERM LOANS.
**
NOTE:
MINOR INCONSISTENCIES MAY OCCUR DUE TO ROUNDING. **
MONTHLY SURVEY OF BANK LOAN COMMITMFNTS
AT SELECTED LARGE U.S. BANKS 1/
(AS OF JUN. 30, 1974)
NOT FOR
QUOTATION OR
PUBLICATION
TABLE 4 - NEW COMMITMENTS
(DOLLAR AMOUNTS IN BILLIONS)
1
i
(9)
(8)
I
(7)
I
TOTAL
NON-BANK
I
REAL
I
ESTATE
COMMITMENTS
TERM
CONFIRMED I
OTHER
I FINANCIAL I
FIRMS
I
I REVOLVING ITERM LOANS El
MORTGAGES I
ICOMMITMENTS I INSTITUTIONSI
TOTAL
LINES
I
LOANS
I
CREDITS
)REV. CREDTTSI
It CHG
It CHG
1- CHGI AMT
AMT
It CHGI AMT
IX CHGI AMT
It CHGI AMT
It CHGI AMT
It CHGI AMT
AMT
Ix CHGI AMT
(1)
C
I
NOVEMBER 30
4.91
1
DECEMBER 31
JANUARY 31
5.01
1
APRIL 30
MAY 31
I
I
38.61
I
I
6.91
11.01
I
I
6.61
-4.71
I
6.21 -6.21
1
I
NOV 73 - JUN 74
AVERAGE
I
1.41
I
6.21
I
JUNE 30
I
0.01
4.51 -6.61
I
MARCH 31
I
4.81 -2.81
I
FEBRUARY 28
I
I
5.61
1
C
(2)
I
I
I
I
1.1? 0.0l
1.31
22.61
1
(31
C
C
I
1.21
I
I
0.81
I
1.31 60.71
I
1.21
I
-8.71
I
I
I
1.11
-5.41
2.41
8.21
I
0.91-22.4|
6.71
I
I
0.91
5.81
I
I
I
I
28.li
4.41
1.11
5.21
I
-6.01
2.81
4.81
I
I
1.31
1
2.81
I
I
1.61
I
I
I
I
I
I
I
0.01
I
1.71 -1.31
I
I
2.21 23.31
I
0.0o1
0.P
9.61
I
-0.61
I
5.61
I
0.01
I
0.71-11.31
I
I
0.81
21.41
I
I
2.11 -3.61
0.61-29.71
2.71
0.61
31.51
0.91
(
I
11.71
I
5.61
2.41
(6)
C
I
2.81 -0.61
1
I
I
6.71
3.61
2.61 50.81
I
I
1.21 -7.11
1.71
I
I
I
1.81
I
1.71-31.71
1.31 41.81
1.51
I
I
I
1.61
(5)
C
I
0.01
I
I
1.31
I
I
1.1?
I
1
I
2.21
0.01
I
0.81-39.21
(4)
I
0.91-12.51
I
0.71-22.31
I
I
0.91 22.81
I
3.01
8.11
I
I
2.81 -6.01
0.61
I
2.61 -5.81
I
I
0.61 -8.41
-1.01
I
0.71
9.81
I
2.4
6.61I
0.71I -1.11I
2.41
6.61
0.71 -1.11
I
I
1.11 23.21
1
I
1.4! 26.01
I
I
1.21-13.91
I
I
0.81
0.01
6.51
0.0
I
I
1.01 36.71
7.01
8.1
I
I
0.91-16.11
6.61 -6.1
I
I
0.81-10.21
I
I
0.91 12.71
I
** NOTE:
SURVEY ARE SELECTED WEEKLY REPORTING
0.91
3.21
I
I
0.91 -0.51
I
I
0.91 -5.61
1
I
I
I
I
1.01
I
6.41
I
0.91
I
2.91
BANKS WITH TOTAL DEPOSITS
MINOR INCONSISTENCIES MAY OCCUR DUE TO ROUNDING. **
8.01 33.3
I
NUMBER OF BANKS
1/ BANKS PARTICIPATING IN THE MONTHLY LOAN COMMITMENT
OF $100 MILLION OR MORE.
6.01 -9.2
8.91 11.4
8.91 -0.5
8.21 -7.3
7.51
4.2
SUPPLEMENTAL APPENDIX B
DEMAND DEPOSIT OWNERSHIP SURVEY
SECOND QUARTER, 1974
Demand Deposit Ownership Survey data for all commercial
banks indicate a smaller increase in total gross IPC demand deposits
(not seasonally adjusted) in the second quarter of 1974 than in
comparable quarters of the three preceding years for which data
are available. (Table 1.)
This weakness followed a much larger
than usual decline in such balances in the first quarter, so that
on balance for the first six months, gross deposits have declined
relatively more than in previous years.
While the first quarter decline in IPC deposits reflected
reduction in nonfinancial business deposits, most of
a
sharp
mainly
quarter
weakness was concentrated in demand balances of
the second
households. Financial business deposits also declined somewhat more
than usual. Nonfinancial business deposits, on the other hand,
expanded at a close-to-seasonal pace in the second quarter.
The reduced growth in consumer balances occurred primarily
at regional banks outside the major money market centers (Table 2).
Part of this weakness may have reflected a drawing down of excess
balances built up in the first quarter when the energy crisis
created considerable uncertainty in financial markets. In addition,
the availability to consumers of market instruments at increasingly
attractive yields may have led to additional economizing in cash
balances.
*
Prepared by Martha S. Scanlon, Economist, Banking Section,
Division of Research and Statistics.
Table 1
CHANGE IN LEVEL OF GROSS IPC DEPOSITS BY OWNERSHIP
CATEGORY, ALL COMERCIAL BANKS 1/
(Billions of dollars, not seasonally adjusted)
Financial business
QII
QIII
QI
.3
.6
.9
.3
n.a.
-6.4
-5.8
-7.1
n.a.
3.3
5.0
3.8
-7.7
4.0
QI
1970
1971
1972
1973
n.a.
1.0
1.7
-.2
n.a.
-.2
-2.3
-. 1
1974
-. 2
-. 6
Year
0QI
OII
III
QIV
1970
1971
1972
1973
1974
n.a.
.1
0
.2
-.2
n.a.
-.1
0
.3
-. 1
-.2
-.1
0
.1
-.1
.1
.1
.3
-. 1
-.2
0
.2
Nonfinancial business
QII
QIII
QIV
QIV
Year
2.7
1.9
4.0
1.7
4.6
6.9
8.4
7.9
oI
n.a.
.3
1.6
-. 5
-1.4
QII
n.a.
0
-1.3
0
.1
QII
n.a.
.8
-3.9
-.3
n.a.
1.8
5.7
2.2
.6
All other
Foreign
___
OIII
.4
-.8
.4
.2
QIV
.3
1.0
.9
.4
Households
QIII
QI
QI
n.a.
-4,2
-6.3
-8.0
-8.9
2.4
1.2
2.6
1.8
2.2
1.2
2.4
1.0
.9
.
Total
QII
QIII
QIV
n.a.
4.9
7.1
6.3
4.3
5.3
2,1
7.0
4.0
7.3
9.7
12.6
9.8
1/ Changes are based on daily averages of last-month-quarter to last-month-in-quarter, not annualized.
Data are before deduction for cash items in process of collection.
Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.
QIV
Table 2
SECOND QUARTER CHANGE IN LEVEL OF GROSS IPC DEMAND DEPOSITS
BY OWNERSHIP CATEGORY, AT WEEKLY REPORTING BANKS VS NON-WEEKLY REPORTING BANKS
(Billions of dollars, not seasonally adjusted)
Financial
Nonfinancial
Households
business
business
Year
WRB
NON-WRB
TOTAL
WRB
NON-WRB
TOTAL
WRB
NON-WRB
TOTAL
1971
1972
-. 1
.1
-. 1
-2.2
-. 2
-2.3
1.7
1.3
1.6
3.7
3.3
5.0
.5
.7
1.3
5.0
1.8
5.7
1973
-. 2
.1
-. 1
1.7
2.1
3.8
.6
1.6
2.2
1974
-. 5
-. 1
-. 6
1.9
2.1
4.0
.5
.4
.9
Year
WRB
NON-WRB
TOTAL
WRB
Foreign
1/
1/
All other
1971
-. 1
0
-. 1
.3
1972
1973
.1
.3
-. 1
0
0
.3
0
-. 1
1974
-. 1
0
-. 1
0
NON-WRB
-. 3
Total
TOTAL
0
WRB
NON-WRB
TOTAL
2.4
2.5
4.9
-1.3
.1
-1.3
0
2.2
2.3
4.9
4.0
7.1
6.3
.1
.1
1.8
2.5
4.3
Changes are based on daily averages of last-month-in-quarter to last-month-in-quarter, not annualized.
Data are before deduction for cash items in process of collection. Only data for total and weekly
reporting banks are reported; figures for non-weekly reporting banks are residuals.
Figures may not add to totals due to rounding.
Cite this document
APA
Federal Reserve (1974, August 19). Greenbook/Tealbook. Greenbooks, Federal Reserve. https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/greenbook_19740820_part2
BibTeX
@misc{wtfs_greenbook_19740820_part2,
author = {Federal Reserve},
title = {Greenbook/Tealbook},
year = {1974},
month = {Aug},
howpublished = {Greenbooks, Federal Reserve},
url = {https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/greenbook_19740820_part2},
note = {Retrieved via When the Fed Speaks corpus}
}