greenbooks · November 21, 1966
Greenbook/Tealbook
Prefatory Note
The attached document represents the most complete and accurate version available
based on original copies culled from the files of the FOMC Secretariat at the Board
of Governors of the Federal Reserve System. This electronic document was created
through a comprehensive digitization process which included identifying the bestpreserved paper copies, scanning those copies, 1 and then making the scanned
versions text-searchable. 2 Though a stringent quality assurance process was
employed, some imperfections may remain.
Please note that some material may have been redacted from this document if that
material was received on a confidential basis. Redacted material is indicated by
occasional gaps in the text or by gray boxes around non-text content. All redacted
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Information Act.
1
In some cases, original copies needed to be photocopied before being scanned into electronic
format. All scanned images were deskewed (to remove the effects of printer- and scanner-introduced
tilting) and lightly cleaned (to remove dark spots caused by staple holes, hole punches, and other
blemishes caused after initial printing).
2
A two-step process was used. An advanced optical character recognition computer program (OCR)
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staff checked and corrected the text as necessary. Please note that the numbers and text in charts and
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Content last modified 6/05/2009.
CONFIDENTIAL (FR)
SUPPLEMENT
CURRENT ECONOMIC AND FINANCIAL CONDITIONS
Prepared for the
Federal Open Market Committee
By the Staff
Board of Governors
of the Federal Reserve System
November 18, 1966
SUPPLEMENTAL NOTES
The Domestic Economy
Seasonally adjusted housing starts dropped a fifth further
from the already reduced September rate and at an annual rate of
848,000, including farm, were the lowest since World War II.
About
half of the month-to-month decline, however, reflected the fact that
unadjusted starts would normally be expected to rise by about an
implied 10 per cent from September to October, and this October they
declined contraseasonally.
The seasonal adjustment factors become much
lower in the remaining months of the year, and because in the current
abnormal state of the market, the prevalence of normal seasonal patterns
cannot be assumed, a return by the seasonally adjusted series to an
annual rate at or above 1 million mark seems likely.
This would com-
pare with a rate of 1.07 million in September and a third quarter
average of 1.09 million.
Unlike starts, building permits--although also already
extremely low--showed only a very slight further decline in October
almost entirely in multifamily structures.
Regionally, the movement
of permits was mixed, with the Northeast and North Central states
registering further declines and the South and West showing some rise.
PRIVATE HOUSING STARTS AND PERMITS
October
c
(thousas
Per cent change from
September 1966 Year earlier
(
of untsa
of units i/ /
Starts
848
-21
-40
Permits
1 - family
2- or more family
719
449
270
- 2
-- 5
-42
-38
-48
129
197
245
148
-12
- 7
+ 4
+ 7
-51
-35
-43
-40
Northeast
North Central
South
West
1/ Seasonally adjusted annual rate; preliminary.
The Domestic Financial Situation
The average yield on call-protected new corporate bonds-adjusted to an Aaa basis--rose to 5.90 this week as the corporate
calendar continued to build up.
Public offerings planned for December
now total nearly $1 billion and may ultimately match even the record
August total.
Moreover, the Thursday announcement of the $150 million
Bethlehem Steel debt issue raises the already scheduled January calendar
to $550 million.
In the municipal market, an increased volume of forthcoming
new issues put upward pressure on yields with those on seasoned Aaarated bonds rising 9 basis points.
Dealers' advertised inventories of
unsold municipal bonds have expanded recently to about $500 million
from $340 million at the end of October.
The Federal National Mortgage Association will sell $550
million of debentures on November 29, probably with a maturity of 2 to
3 years.
$300 million of the securities will be sold publicly, more
than replacing a maturing issue of some $90 million due on December 12.
The remaining $250 million will be bought by the Treasury Trust Accounts,
bringing the total of such purchases since early September to over
$1,100 million.
Corrections
Page I - 4:
materials.
Top line should read, "steel and some other
For machinery and equipment,
for which prices".
In some
copies of the Greenbook, the International Section,IV, was inserted in
the middle of the Domestic Financial Section, III, between Pages III 13 and III - 14.
Cite this document
APA
Federal Reserve (1966, November 21). Greenbook/Tealbook. Greenbooks, Federal Reserve. https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/greenbook_19661122_part1
BibTeX
@misc{wtfs_greenbook_19661122_part1,
author = {Federal Reserve},
title = {Greenbook/Tealbook},
year = {1966},
month = {Nov},
howpublished = {Greenbooks, Federal Reserve},
url = {https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/greenbook_19661122_part1},
note = {Retrieved via When the Fed Speaks corpus}
}