bluebooks · January 9, 1967
Bluebook
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Content last modified 6/05/2009.
CONFIDENTIAL (FR)
January 9,
1967.
MONEY MARKET AND RESERVE RELATIONSHIPS
Recent developments
With bill rates declining further and other money market
conditions easing slightly, total member bank deposits (bank credit
proxy) expanded at an annual rate of 3.4 per cent in December, the
first monthly increase since July; after considering bank borrowing
abroad, the proxy rose by about 5 per cent.
Yields on Treasury bills
of all maturities have fallen below 5 per cent, with the 3-month
bill recently hovering around 4.80 per cent.
Yields available on
short-term Federal agencies also declined sharply, while rates on
bankers' acceptances and finance company paper were reduced moderately.
The recent declines in bill rates have apparently contained
a large expectational component, particularly since market demand
for bills tended to taper off after mid-December when funds appeared
to be diverted increasingly to CD's and other short-term instruments.
Dealer bill positions have risen further from earlier high levels;
dealers also continue to carry a sizable amount of coupon issues
maturing in over a year, and have built up holdings of Federal agency
issues and CD's.
Conditions in the Federal funds and dealer loan markets
eased only modestly in December; indeed, they tightened briefly in
connection with year-end money market churning.
Very large dealer
FINANCIAL MARKET RELATIONSHIPS IN PERSPECTIVE
(Monthly averages, and, where available, weekly averages of daily figures)
Money Market Indicators
Bond Yields
Flow of Reserves. Bank Credit and Money
Free
Borrow- Federal 3-month
Corporate Munici- NonTotal
Bank
Reserves
ings
(In millions
Period
Funds
Rate
of dollars)
Treasury
U.S.
Gov't.
Bill
(20 yn)
New
Issues
pal
(Aaa)
(Aaa) /
borrowed
Reserves
Reserves
(In millions
of dollars)
Credit
Proxy
oy
upply
i
Deposits 2/
(In billions of dollars)
1965--Dec.
- 22
452
4.28
4.37
4.50
4.85
3.39
+182
+262
+ 1.8
+ 1.6
+ 1.4
$6--Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
Apr.
- 51
-117
-210
-277
431
474
545
638
4.32
4.58
4.64
4.64
4.58
4.65
4.58
4.61
4.52
4.71
4.72
4.65
4.81
4.96
5.09
5.03
3.40
3.48
3.55
3.46
+173
+ 58
- 88
+206
+129
+ 78
+ 57
+256
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
May
June
July
-339
-352
-359
653
722
739
4.83
5.13
5.18
4.63
4.50
4.78
4.69
4.73
4.84
5.16
5.35
5.48
3.53
3.60
3.77
+ 1
- 16*
+135*
+ 6
+ 3*
+224*
+ 1.0
+ 0.9*
+ 2.1*
Aug.
-374
740
5.45
4.95
4.95
5.54
3.91
-302
-400
-
Sept.
-390
765
5.30
5.36
4.94
5.82
3.93
+
5
+129
- 0.1
Oct.
Nov. p
-425
-243
766
605
5.46
5.75
5.33
5.31
4.83
4.88
5.70
5.71
3.82
3.78
-134
+104
-195
- 39
- 0.7
- 1.1
- 0.9
- 0.4
- 0.3
+ 0.1
p
-187
529
5.39
4.96
4.76
5.74
3.79
+ 18
+ 18
+ 0.8
+ 1.1
+ 1.1
+ 1.1
+ 0.2
- 0.1
- 0.6
+ 0.6
Dec.
1.6
0.7
1.1
3.1
0.8
0.2
0.9
1.6
0.9
0.7
1.0
1.9
- 0.7
+ 0.9
- 1.5
+ 1.6
+ 1.5*
+ 1.9*
--
+ 1.4
+ 0.9
+ 0.4
0.7
7 p
-250
449
5.30
5.16
5.24
5.77
3.84
14 p
-129
647
5.40
5.07
5.12
5.63
3.74
21 p
-276
472
5.25
4.85
4.88
--
3.74
+ 1.0
+ 2.8
+ 0.5
28 p
-
548
5.62
4.79
4.83
--
3.74
+ 0.2
-
1.6
+ 0.8
-188
565
5.25
4.82
4.81
5.51
3.72
+ 1.4
+ 0.8
+ 0.2
Year 1966
First Half 1966
Second Half 1966
-275
-228
-322
635
581
694
5.06
4.69
5.39
4.85
4.59
5.12
Averages
4.77
5.41
4.67
5.12
4.87
5.74
3.67
3.51
3.83
Recent variations
in growth
July 6-Aug. 10
Aug. 10-Nov. 16
-345
-320
738
638
5.32
5.46
4.81
5.27
4.85
4.91
5.55
5.78
3.80
3.87
- 4.2
- 2.7
-13.4
+ 0.4
+12.7
+ 1.4
Nov. 16-Jan.
-199
537
5.43
5.04
4.79
5.70
3.79
+ 7.0
+ 9.2
+10.3
Dec.
'^57--Jan.
1/
2/
3/
* -
4 p
4
93
--
+ 0.7
+ 3.0
- 1.5
Annual rates of increase 3/
+ 1.4
+ 3.7
+ 1.9
+ 8.3
+.4.7
+ 7.1*
+ 4.7
+10.3*
- 1.9
+ 0.2
- 0.9
+ 5.6
From January 1966 to date, issues carry a 5-year call protection.
Time deposits adjusted at all commercial banks.
Base is average for month preceding specified period or in case of weekly periods, thhe first week shown.
Changes have been adjusted for redefinition of time deposits effective June 9, 1966.
p - Preliminary.
January 6,
1967.
CONFIDENTIAL (FR)
-2-
January 9, 1967.
financing requirements during the past month have contributed not
only to maintenance of pressure on the money markets, but also to
expansion in bank credit since a good part of these financing needs
have been accommodated through increased lending by money market banks.
Partly in consequence, these banks have experienced an enlarged basic
reserve deficiency, which they have financed by actively bidding for
Federal funds and in some cases coming to the discount window for
temporary assistance.
Federal funds traded over a fairly wide range of rates
during the past four weeks and have averaged about 5-3/8 per cent as
compared with an average of about 5.60 per cent in the preceding four
weeks.
Net borrowed reserves fluctuated between $93 million and
$276 million in the latest 4-week period, but averaged about $170
million, down from an average of $215 million in the preceding four
weeks.
Member bank borrowings averaged $560 million in the latest
period, unchanged from four weeks ago.
The decline in bill rates last month enabled banks to bid
more successfully for CD's, and the total outstanding rose contraseasonally by $150 million during the month.
Total time and savings
deposits began to grow rapidly in the second week of December, and
contributed importantly to the continuing week to week increases in
bank credit proxy during the month.
Between the last statement weeks
of November and December, the bank credit proxy expanded by almost
CONFIDENTIAL (FR)
-3-
January
6
, 1967.
13 per cent annual rate, after having declined by about 12 per cent
from the end of October to the end of November.
The December rise
in bank credit included substantial additions to bank holdings of
short-term U.S. Government securities, as banks made efforts to restore
their liquidity position; business loans of banks showed no net
expansion in December.
Expansion in the money supply, which resumed in mid-November,
continued in December.
Private demand deposits rose by about 9 per
cent during the month on average, but this increase in large part
represented a short-run response to declines in U.S. Government
deposits.
With respect to reserve aggregates, both nonborrowed and
total reserves showed only a very slight expansion in December, as banks
economized on excess reserves (after seasonal adjustment) during the
month.
Prospective developments
Bank credit expansion is likely to continue in January,
but at a slower pace than indicated by the large recent week to week
increases.
The increase in the January average of outstanding bank
credit over the December average may be in a 7-9 per cent (annual
rate) range, but this includes the carry-over effect on the monthly
averages of the strength in the latter part of December.
From the
end of December through the end of January, a growth rate in the 4-6
per cent range appears likely.
CONFIDENTIAL (FR)
-4-
January 6, 1967.
These projections assume that the 3-month bill rate stays
roughly within the recent 4.75-4.85 per cent range over the period
ahead, that net borrowed reserves fluctuate around $100 million, and
that Federal funds and dealer loan rates back down somewhat from
recent high levels of around year-end.
The 3-month bill rate might
move toward the upper limits of the range assumed if dealer attitudes
should lead to a reversal of the large build-up in bill positions
that was recently an important factor pulling bill rates down relative
to other short-term rates.
Upward bill rate pressures are most likely
to develop if dealer financing costs do not come down from recent
levels (when they were generally in a 5-3/4 - 6-1/2 per cent range
in New York and around 5-1/2 per cent outside New York), and if the
usual seasonal reflow of corporate money into bills does not come up
to expected proportions.
However, market psychology will remain an
important influence on bill rates, with the continuance of bullish
market attitudes dependent partly on interpretations of monetary
policy and of the fiscal implications of the forthcoming Federal
budget.
With respect to credit demands, it is assumed that business
loans resume a moderate growth related in part to accelerated payments
by corporations of withheld individual income tax payments in January;
and, as a partial offset, that banks become less active in lending
to dealers as the latter's positions are reduced somewhat and as
CONFIDENTIAL (FR)
-5-
January 6, 1967.
financing from corporations through repurchase agreements becomes
more available.
The interest rate and credit demand assumptions appear
consistent with expansion of time and savings deposits at all
commercial banks by about 12 per cent in January on a monthly average
basis.
This projection assumes that banks will be able to add about
$500 million to outstanding CD's despite the large $5.5 billion of
maturities in January and that the somewhat more rapid increase in
other time deposits that has recently developed will continue.
It
further assumes that banks generally will not move to reduce interest
rates paid on CD's until their liquidity positions are more comfortable
or until they are more convinced that loan demand is fading.
Money supply in January is expected to show little or no
net change on average.
Private demand deposits may decline somewhat,
partly because of a projected rise of almost $1 billion in U.S.
Government deposits.
But private demand deposits are not assumed
to decline by as much as Government deposits rise, in contrast to
what has often been their past short-run behavior.
The decline in
private demand deposits is likely to be limited by renewed business
loan growth.
These deposit projections imply a sizable expansion in
aggregate reserves in January on average--in the order of 10-12
per cent for nonborrowed and total reserves.
For December-January
CONFIDENTIAL (FR)
-6-
January 6, 1967.
together, nonborrowed reserves may show an increase around the 5-7
per cent range.
The December-January increase in such reserves,
together with related monetary variables, is shown in the table
below in comparison with other periods (all figures being annual
rates of increase for the period including terminal months).
Dec. '66Jan. '67
(projected)
Calendar
years
Aug. '66- Feb. '66- Aug. '651965
Nov. '66 July '66 Jan. '66 1966
Bank credit proxy
Time deposits
Money supply
5-7
9-11
3-5
-3.0
+3.1
-0.7
+ 7.5
+11.6
+ 1.9
+ 7.8
+14.4
+ 6.9
+3.7
+8.3
+1.9
+ 9.1
+16.0
+ 4.7
Nonborrowed reserves
5-7
-4.3
+ 2.6
+ 4.9
+0.7
+ 4.3
If the Committee wishes to continue a gradual reduction
in the degree of monetary restraint, it might call for open market
operations to achieve a set of money market conditions that might
include a net borrowed reserve position averaging close to zero and
Federal funds averaging near 5 per cent.
This would, in all likelihood,
bring the 3-month bill rate down to a 4.60-4.75 per cent range.
It
would also encourage gradual relaxation of bank loan policies.
Such an easing of money market conditions--given the current
economic outlook indicated in the Green Book--would be likely to
encourage further bank credit expansion through the winter months,
although possibly not at a trend rate much above the December-January
average indicated in the table.
Long-term yields would be more likely
CONFIDENTIAL (FR)
-7-
January 6, 1967.
to decline further as banks increased their acquisitions of municipals
and long Governments.
And, with long-term rate declines, mortgages
would become increasingly attractive to institutional investors.
Finally, it should be noted that if further signs of
substantial economic weakness are noted by the market, the level of
interest rates could move sharply down, even if net borrowed reserves
are not very different from their recent range.
But such a movement
of interest rates might not necessarily be accompanied by any greater
expansion of bank credit than projected--and possibly less--as banks
might begin reducing CD rates and might see some immediate sizable
declines in demand deposits associated with loan repayment.
Main-
tenance of bank credit expansion would under the circumstances
depend on a relatively rapid growth in nonborrowed reserves, which
would permit banks to repay debt to the Federal Reserve and perhaps
to others and to liberalize portfolio investment policies and lending
terms markedly.
Table A-1
MARGINAL RESERVE MEASURES
(Dollar amounts in millions, based on period averages of daily figures)
Excess
reserves
Period
As
I
Member banks
borrowings
Free
date
1965--December
430
452
- 22
1966--January
February
March
April
May
June
380
357
335
361
315
370
380
366
375
341
362
342
1,31
- 51
474
545
638
653
722
739
740
765
766
605
529
-117
-210
-277
-339
-352
-359
-374
-390
-425
-243
-187
August
September
October
November p
December p
As
expected
at
conclusion
of each
week's
open
market
opeations
-
-
Monthly (reserves
weeks ending in):
July
reserves
1
to
revised
I
1
As first
published
each week
_____________________
4.
Weekly:
1966- -Oct.
5
12
19
26
314
413
489
147
828
928
790
518
-514
-515
-301
-371
-439
-511
-297
-366
-439
-489
-308
-376
Nov.
2
9
16
23
30
279
378
547
184
438
594
646
711
439
636
-315
-268
-164
-255
-198
-301
-249
-227
-261
-207
-302
-224
-244
-236
-221
Dec.
7
14
21
28
199
518
196
455
449
647
472
548
-250
-129
-276
-194
-143
-248
- 93
-245
-152
-264
-112
4
377
565
-188
-188
-175
1967-- Jan.
I
p - Preliminary
-
Preliminary
- 39
TABLE A-2
AGGREGATE RESERVES AND RELATED M ASURES
(In
per cent,
Retrospective Changes, Seasonally Adjusted
annual rates based on monthly averages of daily figures)
Res e r v e
Total
Reserves
Reserves
r e
a t e s
Required reserves
Against
onborrowed
Total
Demand
Ag
(cedit)
ReereDeposits
Annually:
1965
1966
+ 5.3
+ 1.2
+ 4.3
+ 0.7
+ 5.3
+ 1.4
+ 2.3
+ 0.5
Monthly:
1965--July
August
September
October
November
December
+ 3.7'
+ 0.4
-- 1.2
+ 3.7
+ 0.6
+13.8
+
+
+
+
+
9.8
+ 4.8
- 1.8
- 2.2
+ 9.7
- 2.0
+13.7
+
+
2.0
4.0
6.8
5.1
3.9
8.2
1966--January
February
March
April
May
June 2/
July 2/
August September2/
October 2/
November 2/p
+ 6.7
+ 4.0
+ 2.9
+13.2
+ 0.3
+ 0.2
+11.4
-20.2
+ 6.6
-10.0
- 2.0
+ 9.5
+ 3.1
- 4.6
+10.9
+ 0.1
- 0.8
+ 7.1
-15.8
- 0.3
7.1
+ 5.5
+ 0.9
+ 6.9
+ 2.9
+ 2.7
+11.9
+ 2.1
+ 1.6
+ 8.4
-14.8
- 0.2
- 1.1
- 7.9
+ 1.0
+ 4.5
December T/p
4.1
1.5
3.9
7.3
5.0
+ 9.1
+ 3.7
Deposits
banks)
+16,0
+ 8.3
+ 4,7
+ 1.9
+ 4.4
+ 0.8
+ 7.4
+ 6.8
+ 3.6
+12.5
+ 5.1
+ 9.7
+15.0
+18.3
+13.7
+17.8
+15.0
+11.5
+ 5.2
+ 4.4
+ 8.1
+ 8.0
+ 2.9
+11.6
+ 4.7
+ 2.8
+ 9.4
+ 7.5
+ 1.9
+13.0
+11.3
+ 3.8
+ 4.0
+11.7
- 4.8
+ 1.3
+ 2.5
-16.9
- 3.0
- 2.1
- 8.6
+ 8.1
+ 3.5
+ 5.5
+15.5
+ 4.9
+ 4.4
+10.3
- 3.4
-- 3.4
- 5.4
- 1.6
+ 7.4
+ 5.7
+ 8.1
+15.3
+12.7
+11.8
+14.8
+10.7
+ 3.0
- 2.3
+ 0.8
+ 5.7
+ 1.4
+ 7.8
+11.3
- 4.9
+ 6.3
-10.5
-+ 6.4
- 6.3
- 2.8
+ 3.4
+ 4.6
-+ 8.2
+12.7
- 7.2
+ 7.2
-16.2
- 0.9
+ 7.3
- 8.1
- 4.6
+ 8.4
+ 7.8
+ 7.3
1/ Includes all deposits subject to reserve requirements.
2/
Moneta r y Variables
Total Member
Time
Money Suppl
Deposits
Private
Bank Deposits
o t
Ti
(comm.
Total
Demand
Movements in this aggregate correspond closely with
movements in total member bank credit.
Changes in reserves, total deposits, and time deposits have been adjusted for redefinition of time deposits
effective June 9. Changes in reserves have been adjusted for increases in reserve requirements in July and
September.
p - Preliminary.
Chart
1
MEMBER BANK RESERVES
MONTHLY AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
I
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS, SEASONALLY
ADJUSTED
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
MEMBER
BANK BORROWINGS
EXCESS RESERVES
J
1965
1966
Chart 2
MEMBER BANK DEPOSITS AND LIABILITIES TO OVERSEAS
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
TOTAL MEMBER BANK DEPOSITS (CREDIT PROXY)
SEAS
ADJ,
DAILY
AVERAGES
248
ACTUAL
WEEKLY
LEVEL I
'
246
244
242
CENTERED
___.13-WEEK
M O V IN
G AVERAGE
240
238
236
6-
LIABILITIES TO OVERSEAS BRANCHES
6 WEEKLY REPORTING BANKS)
NOT SEAS
ADJ,
WEDNESDAYS
4
I
I
I
I
I
I
L
I_
M
1966
1967
BRANCHES
Chart 3
MONEY SUPPLY AND BANK DEPOSITS
SEASONALLY ADJUSTED WEEKLY AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
BILLIONS OF D,
TOTAL
MEMBER
BANK
(Credit
Proxy)
DEPOSITS
245
"
240
235
230
170
225
165
220
160
155
-TIME
DEPOSITS
ADJUSTED
(All Commercial
4---- ---i
Banks)
.^ r
150
145
140
135
'NEGOTIABLE
CD'S
(Unadjusted)--
130
J
1965
J
S
D
1966
*CHANGE
IN SERIES
Chart 4
DEMAND
DEPOSITS
SEASONALLY
ADJUSTED WEEKLY
AND CURRENCY
AVERAGES OF DAILY FIGURES
BILLIONS OF DOLLARS
45
MONEY SUPPLY COMPONENTS:
40
CURRENCY
OUTSIDE
I
BANKS
__
35
30
140
135
DEMAND
DEPOSITS
130
125
120
15
10
5
0
M
J
1965
S
D
M
J
1966
S
D
Table B-1
MAJOR SOURCES AND USES OF RESERVES
Retrospective and Prospective
(Dollar amounts in millions, based on weekly averages of daily figures)
Factors affecting sup ly of reserves
Period
Federal Reserve
credit (excl.
float) /
Gold
stock
Currency
outside
banks
=
Technical
factors
net 2/
Change
in
total
reserves
=
Bank use of reserves
Required
reserves
3/
Excess
reserves
ACTUAL
lr :
1965 (12/30/64 - 12/29/65)
+4,035
-1,602
-2,143
+798
+1,089
+1,188
- 99
1966 (12/29/65 - 12/28/66)
+3,149
-627
-2,232
+805
+1,096
+1,104
-
+247
+319
- 53
--
+336
+397
-341
-294
+190
+419
+332
+497
-142
- 78
30 p
+775
- 27
- 17
-439
+291
+ 20
+271
7
14
21
28
p
p
p
p
+ 97
- 19
-231
+556
- 72
--+ 1
-289
-214
- 35
-186
+252
+547
+627
- 70
- 12
+315
+363
+301
+227
- 4
+685
+ 42
-239
+319
-322
+259
4 p
+319
+397
-294
+419
+497
- 78
--
8
Year-to-date:
(12/29/65 - 1/5/66)
(12/28/66 - 1/4/67)
Weekly:
1966--Nov.
Dec.
1967--Jan.
--
PROJECTED 4/
1967--Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
11
+ 85
-
-500
-415
-415
18
-660
--
+420
-
80
-320
-320
25
-225
--
+245
-225
-205
-205
1
8
15
22
+180
+325
-235
-420
-----
+200
-315
+ 95
+ 75
-400
-100
- 40
+150
- 20
- 90
-180
-195
- 20
- 90
-180
-195
1
8
15
-235
+525
- 75
----
+105
-475
+ 70
- 50
-100
- 5
-180
- 50
- 10
-180
- 50
- 10
-For
For
For
See
retrospective details, see Table B-4.
factors included, see Table B-3.
required reserves by type of deposits, see Table B-2.
reverse side for explanation of projections.
p - Preliminary.
--
Table B-2
CHANGES IN REQUIRED RESERVE COMPONENTS
Retrospective and Prospective Seasonal and Nonseasonal Changes
(Dollar amounts in millions, based on weekly averages of daily figures)
Total
required
reee
reses
Period
Supporting
U. S. Gov't.
demand
demand
private deposits
_Supporting
Other than
seasonal chan
seasonal changes
Seasonal changes
Total
Total
deposits
Demand
Time
Demand
Time
ACTUAL
Year:
(12/30/64 (12/29/65 -
1965
1966
12/29/65)
12/28/66)
+1,188
+1,104
-
89
90
+1,277
+1,194
+115
- 14
-
4
4
+499
7
+425
+497
- 26
- 20
+451
+517
+425
+334
+ 24
+ 24
8
+146
+ 10 1/
+ 13
1966--Nov. 30 p
+ 32
+ 52
-
-
+
5
-
5
-
1
Dec.
6
+667
+1,219
Year-to-date:
(12/29/65 (12/28/66 -
1/5/66)
1/4/67)
Weekly:
1967--Jan.
20
19
+227
-
8
+235
+132
+
2
+ 95
+
14 p
-
4
-178
+174
+295
-
5
-138
+ 22
21 p
28 p
+685
+ 42
+ 13
+402
+672
-360
+311
-176
- 15
+ 5
+356
-234
+ 20
+ 45
4 p
+497
- 20
+517
+334
+ 24
+146
+ 13
11
18
25
-415
-320
-205
-200
-250
+170
-215
- 70
-375
-140
-115
-230
+ 15
+ 15
+ 10
-100
+ 15
-165
+ 10
+ 15
+ 10
1
- 20
+ 40
- 60
- 80
+ 10
8
15
- 90
-180
+ 95
- 40
-185
-140
-190
-160
+ 10
+ 5
22
-195
-
10
-185
-340
1
8
15
-180
- 50
- 10
- 75
- 60
- 50
-135
+ 10
+ 40
-140
+ 20
+ 70
7 p
PROJECTED
1967--Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
1/
Reflects reserve requirement changes in July and September.
p - Preliminary.
I
_
_
_
_
--
--
+ 10
+ 10
+ 5
_
_
_
_
_
_
_
+ 10
- 15
+ 5
+ 10
+ 10
+145
+ 10
+ 15
- 30
- 45
+ 10
+ 10
+ 10
___
_
_
_
_
_
Table B-3
TECHNICAL FACTORS AFFECTING RESERVES
Retrospective and Prospective Changes
(Dollar amounts in millions, based on weekly averages of daily figures)
Technical
factors
(net)
Period
ACTUAL
Foreign
deposits
and gold
loans
(Sign indicates effect on reserves)
Treasury
operations
Float
Other
nonmember
deposits and
F. R. accounts
Year:
1965 (12/30/64 - 12/29/65)
+798
+294
-171
+ 77
+598
1966
+805
+673
+ 64
-
30
+ 98
-341
-294
+ 87
- 27
-347
-284
-
15
23
- 66
+ 40
-439
+154
-548
-
16
-
(12/29/65 -
12/28/66)
Year-to-date:
(12/29/65
(12/28/66
-
1/5/66)
1/4/67)
Weekly:
1966--Nov. 30
Dec.
1967--Jan.
29
7
+252
+115
+112
-
1
14
+547
+345
+ 18
-
11
+195
21
+627
- 57
+639
+ 18
+ 27
28
- 70
-146
+106
-
1
- 29
4
-294
-
27
-284
-
23
+ 40
11
18
25
-500
- 80
-225
--130
--
-365
+ 50
-225
-
15
--
-120
- 15
--
1
8
15
22
-400
-100
- 40
+150
-----
-400
-100
- 60
+300
--
-
1
8
15
- 50
-100
5
----
- 50
-100
- 60
+ 26
PROJECTED
1967--Jan.
Feb.
Mar.
----
+ 20
-150
--
--
+ 55
Table B-4
SOURCE OF FEDERAL RESERVE CREDIT
Retrospective Changes
(Dollar amounts in millions of dollars, based on weekly averages of daily figures)
Ii1
Period
.
-
securities
Total Federal
U.S. Government
1*
Total
Repurchase
Reserve credit
Other
Bills
agreements
(Excl. float) ., holdings
.
.
.
Federal
Agency
Securities
Bankers'
acceptances
Member banks
borrowings
.
r:
+3,145
+2,158
+916
+474
+4,035
+3,149
+3,916
+3,069
247
319
178
282
5
12
19
26
692
110
630
20
506
30
448
273
496
20
448
194
+ 10
2
9
16
23
30
304
509
5
699
755
225
455
59
438
550
243
323
16
306
212
- 18
+132
+ 76
- 43
+ 65
-132
+338
-272
+197
7
14
21
28
97
19
231
556
256
202*
112*
452
141
120
69
105
+115
-154
+ 26
+315
-187
+198
-175
+ 76
4
319
282
434
-152
+ 17
1965 (12/30/64 - 12/29/65)
1966 (12/29/65 - 12/28/66)
-145
+437
+ 26
+202
-152
+
Year-to-date:
(12/29/65 - 1/5/66)
(12/28/66 - 1/4/67)
Weekly:
1966--Oct.
Nov.
Dec.
1967--Jan.
-
24
+
434
- -10
i
+ 79
1
+ 53
+ 16
+ 19
+ 17
+178
+100
-138
-272
+ 52
* - Includes effect of change in special certificates of +$72 million of the week of December 14, 1966, and -$72 million
of the week of December 21, 1966.
Chart Reference Table C-1
TOTAL, NONBORROWED AND REQUIRED RESERVES
Seasonally Adjusted
(Dollar amounts in millions, based on monthly averages of daily figures)
Total
Period
reserves
eserves
Total
Nonborrowed
reserve
reserves
NJ
Reuired reserves
Toaowed
Total
Against rivate deposits
TotalDemand
Demand
1
Total
1964--January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
20,964
20,996
21,179
21,209
21,105
21,385
21,436
21,551
21,776
21,739
21,872
21,843
-20,673
20,711
20,875
20,931
20,911
21,135
21,150
21,256
21,422
21,409
21,487
21,585
20,542
20,601
20,754
20,783
20,765
20,972
21,015
21,172
21,333
21,346
21,499
21,526
19,993
20,118
20,247
20,387
20,486
20,547
20,634
1965--January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
21,960
22,157
22,279
22,449
22,436
22,612
22,682
22,689
22,667
22,737
22,748
23,010
21,625
21,771
21,814
21,953
21,994
22,082
22,158
22,186
22,114
22,248
22,341
22,523
21,563
21,713
21,868
22,036
22,109
22,243
22,332
22,299
22,259
22,439
22,402
22,657
20,702
20,765
20,881
20,985
20,962
21,138
21,247
21,331
21,553
21,720
21,803
21,970
15,730
15,717
23,139
23,217
23,274
23,530
23,536
23,539
23,763
23,363
23,492
23,297
23,258
23,276
22,701
22,759
22,671
22,877
22,878
22,862
22,997
22,695
22,700
22,566
22,670
22,688
22,788
22,844
22,896
23,123
23,163
23,193
23,355
23,067
23,064
22,075
22,084
22,269
22,477
22,453
22,582
22,511
22,517
22,598
22,430
22,381
22,512
16,364
16,356
16,510
16,625
16,534
16,626
1966--January
February
March
April
May
June 1/
July 1/
August 1/
September
October
S1/
November pS1/
December p
I
23,042
22,891
22,977
19,679
19,748
19,796
19,855
19,910
15,295
15,321
15,344
15,364
15,371
15,409
15,495
15,575
15,665
15,709
15,713
15,746
15,789
15,831
15,750
15,877
15,912
15,916
16,071
16,151
16,168
16,285
16 ,68
16,428
16,498
16,317
16,403
-
p - Preliminary.
1/ Reserves have been adjusted for redefinition of time deposits effective June 9.
Table C-2
DEPOSITS SUPPORTED BY REQUIRED RESERVES AT ALL MEMBER BANKS
Seasonally Adjusted
(Dollar amounts in billions, based on monthly averages of daily figures)
Total member
bank deposits
Monthly
(credit) 1/
Time
deposits
Private
demand
U.S. Gov't.
demand
deposits 2/
deposits
202.8
203.8
93.5
94.4
104.4
104.6
4.9
4.8
March
205.1
94.9
104.7
5.4
April
May
June
July
August
206.0
206.6
208.7
209.3
211.3
95.8
96.8
97.7
98.6
99.6
104.9
104.9
105.2
105.8
106.3
5.3
4.9
5.8
5.0
5.4
September
October
November
December
213.1
214.1
216.1
216.7
100.8
101.9
103.1
104.2
106.9
107.2
107.3
107.5
5.5
5.0
5.7
5.0
1965--January
February
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
218.4
220.4
222.5
224.6
225.8
227.7
229.1
230.4
231.1
106.0
107.6
108.6
109.9
111.1
112.2
113.8
115.5
116.9
107.4
107.3
107.8
108.1
107.5
108.4
108.6
108.6
109.7
5.0
5.5
6.1
6.7
7.2
7.1
6.7
6.3
4.6
October
233.5
118.7
110.2
4.5
November
December
234.5
236.4
120.2
121.2
110.4
111.2
4.0
4.0
1966--January
February
March
April
238.0
238.7
239.8
242.9
121.8
122.1
122.8
124.8
111.7
111.6
112.7
113.5
4.5
5.0
4.3
4.7
3/
243.9
244.8
126.2
127.0
112.9
113.5
4.8
4.3
July 3/
August 3/
246.9
246.2
128.8
129.8
112.4
112.1
5.6
4.2
1964--January
February
May
June
246.2
130.1
112.6
3.5
Oct. 3/
Nov. 3/ p
245.5
244.4
129.6
129.3
111.6
111.4
4.3
3.7
Dec. 3/7
245.1
130.2
112.0
2.9
Sept.
3/
1/ Includes all deposits subject to reserve requirements--i.e., the total
of time, private demand, and U.S. Government demand deposits. Movements
in this aggregate correspond closely with movements in total member bank
credit.
2/ Private demand deposits include demand deposits of individuals, partnerships and corporations and net interbank balances.
3/ Deposits have been adjusted for redefinition of time deposits effective
June 9, 1966.
p - Preliminary.
TABLE C-2a
DEPOSITS SUPPORTED BY REQUIRED RESERVES AT ALL MEMBER BANKS
Seasonally adjusted
(Dollar amounts in millions, based on weekly averages of daily figures)
Week ending:
1966- -July 6*
13*
20*
27*
Total member
bank deposits
(credit/
Time
deposits
Private
demand
2/
_____deposits
U. S. Gov't.
demand
deposits
247.3
247.1
247.0
247.1
127.9
128.7
129.0
129.2
113.0
112.2
112.6
112.1
6.3
6.2
5.4
5.8
3*
10*
17*
24*
31*
246.1
246.3
246.5
245.0
246.8
129.2
129.4
129.9
130.1
130.3
112.1
111.1
112.3
112.1
112.2
4.8
5.7
4.3
2.8
4.4
Sept. 7*
14*
21*
28*
247.0
246.5
245.7
245.7
130.2
130.2
129.8
130.0
112.5
112.1
113.7
112.8
4.3
4.2
2.2
2.9
Oct.
5*
12*
19*
26*
246.2
245.2
244.3
246.1
129.8
129.8
129.8
129.3
112.8
112.1
111.5
111.0
3.5
3.3
3.0
5.9
Nov.
2*
246.1
245.8
244.4
243.0
243.3
129.5
129.3
129.3
129.3
129.3
111.2
111.1
111.1
111.1
111.3
5.4
5.3
4.0
2.2
2.7
p*
14p*
2
1p*
28p*
244.4
244.4
245.4
245.7
129.4
129.8
130.2
131.0
111.8
111.1
113.0
111.5
3.2
3.6
2.2
3.2
4p*
247.1
131.1
112.5
3.4
Aug.
9*
16*
23*
30
p*
Dec.
1967-- Jan.
7
p - Preliminary.
1/ Includes all deposits subject to reserve requirements--i.e., the total
of time, private demand, and U.S. Government demand deposits. Movements in this aggregate correspond closely with movements in total
member bank credit.
2/ Private demand deposits include demand deposits on individuals, partnerships and corporations and net interbank balances.
* - Deposits have been adjusted for redefinition of time deposits effective
June 9, 1966.
TABLE C-3
MONEY SUPPLY AND TIME DEPOSITS AT ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
Seasonally adjusted
(Dollar amounts in billions, based
on monthly averages of daily figures)
Monthly
Money Supply
1964--October
November
December
158.8
159.0
159.7
1965--January
February
159.7
159.8
160.3
161.0
160.7
161.7
162.4
163.0
164.1
165.2
165.6
March
April
May
June
July
August
September
October
November
December
1966--January
February
March
April
May
June 3/
July 3/
August 3/
September3/
October 3/
November /p
December 3/p
1/
2/
3/
Private
Demand
Currency I/
SDeposits 2/
34.0
124.8
34.1
124.8
34.2
125.4
125.3
125.2
125.6
126.2
125.8
126.7
127.2
127.5
128.5
167.2
34.5
34.6
34.7
34.8
34.9
35.0
35.3
35.5
37.7
36.0
36.1
36.3
168.0
168.2
169.3
170.9
170.2
171.1
169.6
169.6
170.5
169.6
169.2
170.3
36.6
36.8
36.9
37.2
37.3
37.4
37.7
37.8
37.9
37.9
38.0
38.2
131.4
131.4
129.3
129.5
130.9
132.3
133.7
132.9
133.7
131.9
131.8
132.6
131.7
131.2
132.0
Time Deposits
Adjusted
123.5
125.1
126.6
128.7
130.7
132.0
133.3
134.6
136.2
137.9
140.0
141.6
143.7
145.5
146.9
147.8
148.5
149.5
151.4
153.0
154.5
156.4
157.8
158.2
157.9
158.0
159.1
Includes currency outside the Treasury, the Federal Reserve, and the vaults of
all commercial banks.
Includes (1) demand deposits at all commercial banks, other than those due to
domestic commercial banks and the U.S. Government, less cash items in process
of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (2) foreign demand balances at
Federal Reserve Banks.
Deposits have been adjusted for redefinition of time deposits effective June 9, 1966.
p - Preliminary.
TABLE C-3a
MONEY SUPPLY AND TIME DEPOSITS AT ALL COMMERCIAL BANKS
Seasonally Adjusted
(Dollar amounts in billions, based
on monthly averages of daily figures)
Private
Week Ending
Money Supply
Currency ./
SDeposits
2/
adusted
adjusted
6
13
20
27
170.9
169.6
169.8
168.9
37.6
37.7
37.7
37.7
133.3
132.0
132.1
131.2
155.5*
156.1*
156.6*
157.1*
3
169.2
168.7
169.7
169.8
170.0
37.7
37.8
37.8
37.8
37.7
131.6
130.9
131.9
132.0
132.2
157.0*
157.4*
157.9*
158.0*
158.2*
28
170.5
170.1
171.7
170.0
37.8
38.0
38.0
37.9
132.6
132.1
133.7
132.1
158.2*
158.2*
158.1*
158.4*
Oct.
5
12
19
26
170.7
170.2
169.6
168.9
37.9
38.0
37.9
37.9
132.8
132.2
131.7
131.0
158.2*
158.0*
158.1*
157.7*
Nov.
2
9
16
23
30
168.9
37.8
38.0
38.1
38.0
38.1
131.1
130.9
130.8
131.3
131.3
157.8*
157.9*
158.0*
158.0*
158.1*
7
14
21
169.6
169.0
28
170.2
38.0
38.2
38.3
38.4
131.5
130.8
133.5
131.8
158.0*
158.6*
159.2*
160.0*
4
171.0
38.5
132.5
160.2*
1966--July
Aug.
10
17
24
31
Sept. 7
14
21
Dec.
1967--Jan.
1/
Time Deposits
Demand
168.8
168.9
169.3
169.4
171.8
Includes currency outside the Treasury, the Federal Reserve, and the vaults of
all commercial banks.
2/ Includes (1) demand deposits at all commercial banks, other than those due to
domestic commercial banks and the U.S. Government, less cash items in process
of collection and Federal Reserve float; and (2) foreign demand balances of
Federal Reserve Banks.
* - Deposits have been adjusted for redefinition of time deposits effective
June 9, 1966.
p - Preliminary.
Cite this document
APA
Federal Reserve (1967, January 9). Bluebook. Bluebooks, Federal Reserve. https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/bluebook_19670110
BibTeX
@misc{wtfs_bluebook_19670110,
author = {Federal Reserve},
title = {Bluebook},
year = {1967},
month = {Jan},
howpublished = {Bluebooks, Federal Reserve},
url = {https://whenthefedspeaks.com/doc/bluebook_19670110},
note = {Retrieved via When the Fed Speaks corpus}
}